SI342: From Trend Following to Super Determinism ft. Richard Brennan

Top Traders Unplugged

Niels Kaastrup-Larsen

Business, Business News, Investing, News

4.8 • 670 Ratings

🗓️ 5 April 2025

⏱️ 75 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Together with Richard Brennan, we’ll explore how current market uncertainties are shaping investor sentiment and prompting a massive shift in how we think about financial systems. As we navigate through some heavy topics, we also touch on the importance of maintaining a disciplined approach in a world where noise can easily drown out the signals. Expect insights on the evolving landscape of trading, where we emphasize the necessity of aligning with processes rather than predictions. Join us as we unpack these ideas and their implications for both our trading philosophy and our understanding of the market dynamics at play.

-----

50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

-----

Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

Send your questions to [email protected]

And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

Follow Rich on Twitter.

Episode TimeStamps:

02:24 - What has caught our attention recently?

12:58 - The damage of leveraged ETF products

15:38 - Reflecting on the trend following performance of Q1

25:18 - Industry performance numbers

26:42 - Super determinism - how it impacts our trading

41:59 - The relationship between science, trend following and the universe

55:36 - Understanding complex adaptive systems as a trend follower

01:13:36 - What is up for next week?

----

PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I...

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0	You're about to join Neil's Kostrup Larson on a raw and honest journey into the world of systematic investing and learn about the most dependable and consistent yet often overlooked investment strategy.
0:13.2	Welcome to the Systematic Investor Series.
0:27.6	Welcome on Webcom. Welcome and welcome back to this week's edition of the Systematic Investor Series with Richard Brennan and I, Niels Karzablasen, where each week we take the pulse of the global
0:31.9	market through the lens of a rules-based investor.
0:34.6	And I also want to say a warm welcome if today is your first time you're
0:37.7	joining us. And if someone who cares about you or your portfolio recommended that you tune into this
0:43.3	podcast, I want to say a big thank you for sharing this episode with your friends and colleagues.
0:47.7	It really means a lot to us. Rich, it is wonderful to see you, to be back with you this week.
0:54.0	I had a week off last week. I was
0:55.7	traveling in Asia. Now I'm back, but so I'm thinking what's going on down under? I only got to
1:02.1	the equator in Singapore, but what's going on really down under? Well, I've just got back myself,
1:07.2	Neil, as I was up in the joyful tropics of Papua New Guinea for a couple of weeks.
1:12.5	So I've got back over the last three days and I'm in this mad catch-up because, unfortunately,
1:18.7	the wireless connection up there wasn't too great.
1:21.1	So my work piled up and now I'm back.
1:24.8	I'm back into it.
1:25.8	So I haven't had a chance to look up and breathe at the
1:28.7	moment.
1:30.3	Sounds like you haven't embraced Starlink just yet.
1:33.2	No, no, but we were talking about Starlink up there and they were certainly eyeing it
1:39.1	off as a prospect to solve their communications problems, but lovely land, very interesting land, but gosh, I tell you what, it's a bit of an
1:47.8	inversion from where I am.
	...

Please login to see the full transcript.

Previous episode | Next episode

Disclaimer: The podcast and artwork embedded on this page are from Niels Kaastrup-Larsen, and are the property of its owner and not affiliated with or endorsed by Tapesearch.

Generated transcripts are the property of Niels Kaastrup-Larsen and are distributed freely under the Fair Use doctrine. Transcripts generated by Tapesearch are not guaranteed to be accurate.