SI341: Nothing Good Happens Below the 200-Day Moving Average ft. Mark Rzepczynski

Top Traders Unplugged

Niels Kaastrup-Larsen

Business, Business News, Investing, News

4.8 • 670 Ratings

🗓️ 29 March 2025

⏱️ 61 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

Alan Dunne and Mark Rzepczynski tackle the current market vibes, focusing on how factors like the 200-day moving average can shift market sentiment and affect portfolio strategies. As they navigate through the choppy waters of market performance, they discuss the importance of understanding uncertainty versus risk and how it impacts decision-making for both individual investors and managers alike. There’s also an exploration of how curiosity plays a crucial role for fund managers in adapting to ever-changing market dynamics. Join us for an insightful discussion on making sense of today's investment landscape.

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Episode TimeStamps:

01:04 - What has caught our attention recently?

04:09 - Industry performance update

06:22 - How markets and managers respond to tariffs

09:39 - Are we talking ourselves into a recession?

12:55 - Why the distinction between risk and uncertainty is important

16:26 - What is price telling us about market noise?

24:06 - How quant traders should approach uncertainty

28:59 - How the current economic landscape shapes systematic trading

31:52 - Feedback loops, reaction functions and monetary policy

36:05 - Advice for dealing with uncertainty as an investor

41:36 - Curiosity as a characteristic in fund...

Transcript

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0:00.0	You're about to join Neil's Kostrup Larson on a raw and honest journey into the world of systematic investing and learn about the most dependable and consistent yet often overlooked investment strategy.
0:13.0	Welcome to the Systematic Investor Series.
0:28.0	Welcome back to the latest edition of TopTraders Unploked, where each week we take the pulse of the markets from the perspective of a real space investor. It's Alan Dunn here this week,
0:33.6	sitting in for Neals again, who's gone on his travels and I was a bit joined by Mark. Mark,
0:38.9	how you doing? Good. How about yourself? Very well, yeah, all good here. Spring sunshine is
0:47.0	continuing in Dublin, so we're happy with that. How is all the stateside kept well? Boston is starting to get a little bit warmer.
0:55.2	We got blue skies out here.
0:56.8	You know, some of the little flowers are coming up.
0:59.0	So spring is, uh, spring has come or it's close.
1:03.4	Very good. Good stuff.
1:04.5	Yeah, yeah, absolutely.
1:06.1	So a lot going on in markets, an interesting time.
1:08.9	We're coming up towards the, the, pretty much the end of the
1:11.7	quarter. So it's certainly been an interesting period, very choppy, I think, fair to say,
1:16.3	across a number of asset classes. So we'll get to that in terms of performance in a little bit.
1:21.4	But we always start off asking, you know, what's been on your radar lately?
1:26.2	Well, I start with a quote for my grandmother, not that she was a great trader, but she used to
1:33.3	warn me when I'd go out, you know, because she lived with us when I was growing up.
1:37.0	She goes, nothing good happens after midnight.
1:41.1	And that always comes to mind because when I look at financial markets, I'll say that
1:46.9	nothing good happens below the 200-day moving average.
1:51.3	Okay. Pretty good.
	...

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