SI335: Trend Following or Mean Reversion: What Works Best When? ft. Rob Carver
Top Traders Unplugged
Niels Kaastrup-Larsen
4.8 • 670 Ratings
🗓️ 15 February 2025
⏱️ 85 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Join us for a fascinating and in-depth conversation with Rob Carver, where we’ll discuss the current state of gold, the impact of rising borrowing costs on futures pricing, and how these elements intertwine with market trends. Along the way, we’ll tackle listener questions that challenge the status quo, digging into everything from fees in the hedge fund world to the implications of recent political shifts. It's a jam-packed session for anyone looking to get a clearer picture of the investment landscape today.
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50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE
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Episode TimeStamps:
01:07 - What on earth is going on with gold?
04:58 - The hidden fees of the hedge fund world
11:25 - Industry performance update
15:00 - Q1, David: Since Rob's book was published, several multi-asset leveraged ETFs have become available. Do you think these products have a place in a long-term portfolio? If so, what kind of allocation would you consider reasonable?
21:17 - Q2, Carlos: Imagine a systematically traded trend following account starting with $100k across 10 markets. Over time, the account grows to $200k. Would it generally be “better” to split the capital into two separate and different trading strategies (each trading 10 instruments), or to add more instruments/markets to the existing strategy for greater market diversification?
24:49 - Q3, Chris: Does the use of ETFs to backtest Rob’s trend following strategies provide an accurate representation of performance?
29:41 - Q4, Steve: Any pointers on how...
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | You're about to join Neil's Kostrup Larson on a raw and honest journey into the world of systematic investing |
| 0:09.0 | and learn about the most dependable and consistent yet often overlooked investment strategy. |
| 0:14.0 | Welcome to the Systematic Investor Series. |
| 0:28.9 | Welcome and welcome back to this week's edition of the Systematic Investor Series with Rob Carver and I, Neil's Castro Blaston, where each week we take the polls of the global market |
| 0:33.0 | through the lens of a rules-based investor. |
| 0:36.2 | Rob, it is great to have you back this week. |
| 0:38.7 | I think actually it's the first time in 2025. |
| 0:41.5 | So how are things on your side? |
| 0:44.0 | How are things in the UK? |
| 0:45.5 | Things are fine. |
| 0:46.4 | It's a bit cold and damp here. |
| 0:48.3 | And I've actually had a cold, |
| 0:49.6 | which I've had for several weeks and isn't going away. |
| 0:51.4 | So listeners should be aware that if there's any, |
| 0:54.3 | like, |
| 0:56.3 | weird gaps in the conversation, |
| 1:00.7 | it's because the editors had to take out about five minutes of me coughing. |
| 1:04.6 | My voice sounds even sort of lower and gravelyer than usual as well. |
| 1:05.7 | Fair enough. |
| 1:07.9 | I'm sure we'll work our way through that. |
| 1:09.3 | We do, |
| 1:09.7 | however, |
... |
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