SI307: The Unpinning of Volatility & How to Prepare for What is Coming ft. Cem Karsan
Top Traders Unplugged
Niels Kaastrup-Larsen
4.8 • 715 Ratings
🗓️ 3 August 2024
⏱️ 68 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Together with Cem Karsan, we discuss how the volatility space is experiencing major dispersion at the moment and how you can prepare your portfolio for the unpinning of volatility which we are experiencing. We also address how the groundbreaking events that have happened in the U.S. election recently might change the outcome of the election and what impact this will have on the economy. We discuss the core principles and mechanisms behind market moves and how Fed plays a pivotal role in this. And lastly, Cem explains how flows in financial systems and markets work and what you can do as an investor to stay well prepared.
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Episode TimeStamps:
01:44 - What has been on our radar recently?
03:38 - A surprise question for Cem
06:26 - Industry performance update
08:59 - How are volatility strategies doing in general in 2024?
14:59 - Suggestions for which volatility indices to use
16:35 - Q1, Zach: How would someone use a systematic trading system to purchase and sell put options?
20:12 - Q2, Rick: With all the talk about USD and rates, does anyone have a view on how a possible unwind of the USD/Yen carry trade could impact markets? DO we know the size of this?
24:19 - Trump 2.0 - better, faster, stronger?
34:30 - An unfathomable situation
38:38 - The mechanisms behind market moves
47:14 - More conflict incoming?
50:37 - What causes stress in the financial systems?
01:01:50 - The wobble is happening
01:05:51 - What is up for next week?
Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | You're about to join Neil's Kostrup Larson on a raw and honest journey into the world of systematic investing |
| 0:09.0 | and learn about the most dependable and consistent yet often overlooked investment strategy. |
| 0:14.0 | Welcome to the Systematic Investor Series. |
| 0:28.2 | Welcome and welcome back to this week's edition of the Systematic Investor Series with Jim Kazang and I, Neil's Castro Blaston, where each week we take the pulse of the global market |
| 0:32.3 | through the lens of a rules-based investor. |
| 0:34.7 | Jim, it is wonderful to be back with you this week. |
| 0:37.7 | I can't believe we're in August already. |
| 0:39.4 | How are you doing? |
| 0:40.1 | And how's the summer been in Chicago? |
| 0:42.8 | Have you had any time to watch the Olympics? |
| 0:45.1 | Or are you saving it up for some live action maybe? |
| 0:49.9 | Yeah, it's been a good summer. |
| 0:52.0 | And right as it's heating up, of course, this seems to always happen. |
| 0:55.9 | When I go out of town, the world blows up. |
| 0:57.5 | So, yeah, actually heading out to see the Olympics live for several days, |
| 1:02.2 | and then off to the motherland for a bit with family. |
| 1:07.5 | So, but yes, this August is going to probably be more interesting than most. |
| 1:12.5 | Yeah. Actually, I think there is a history, a little bit, of August throwing in a few surprises. |
| 1:17.7 | I seem to be there were always some dead ceiling debates and risk of default in the US, which |
| 1:23.9 | never for sure. August kind of confront and run, sometimes, and I think that's what's happening |
| 1:28.7 | here. |
| 1:29.1 | Yeah. |
... |
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