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Top Traders Unplugged

SI285: Elections Ahead & What this Mean for Investors ft. Cem Karsan

Top Traders Unplugged

Niels Kaastrup-Larsen

Business, Business News, Investing, News

4.8670 Ratings

🗓️ 2 March 2024

⏱️ 68 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Today, Cem Karsan joins us to discuss a wide range or really important topics. Inspired by questions from listeners we discuss how the balance in asset performance is shifting and how 0DTE impact markets. We also discuss how 2024 will contain more inportant elections than any other year in recent history and how we foresee the U.S. election will play out, the state of flows and the rise of a new meme stock. Lastly, we discuss whether the U.S. is beginning to loose the exorbitant privilege due to their huge debt and the potential power shifts that can happen in the nearby future.

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Episode TimeStamps:

01:06 - What has been on our radar recently?

05:13 - Industry performance update

08:01 - Q1, Rick: Is positioning in tech under or over weighted?

11:23 - How 0DTE impact markets

18:08 - Is the VIX broken?

24:03 - 2024 - The year of elections

30:19 - Republicans or democrats - does it even matter to the markets?

32:09 - The return of the Kennedy's

39:15 - What is going on with flows?

47:55 - The rise of meme stocks

52:41 - How the U.S. debt will impact the dollar

59:59 - A wild ride for Japan

01:05:54 - Thanks for listening

Copyright © 2024 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

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Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

You're about to join Neil's Kostrup Larson on a raw and honest journey into the world of systematic investing

0:07.2

and learn about the most dependable and consistent yet often overlooked investment strategy.

0:13.2

Welcome to the Systematic Investor Series.

0:26.4

Welcome and welcome back to this week's edition of the Systematic Investor Series with Jim Kazang and I, Neil's Castro Blasen, where each week we take the pulse of the global

0:30.4

market through the lens of a rules-based investor.

0:33.1

Jim, it's great to be back with you this week.

0:35.5

I can't believe we're heading into March already tomorrow.

0:39.1

How are you doing? Well, we've had a bit of an Indian summer here in Chicago. You know, 70 degree

0:46.8

Fahrenheit temperatures. But so it already feels like spring here. And markets kind of already feel like spring, too.

0:56.9

Yes. I'm not sure if they're confused about the Christmas rally coming very early or very late,

1:02.0

but it certainly has been some an interesting period. Let's put it that way. Now, as always,

1:08.0

when you're on, we have some great topics that we're going to be diving into.

1:12.1

And we also have a few questions where people will like your thoughts.

1:16.7

But before we dive into all of this, I'd like to step outside of the topics we're going to talk about

1:22.6

and just maybe ask you sort of a little bit what's been top of mind on your radar maybe since we last spoke,

1:28.0

which was very, very early January of this year, where we kind of peaked into 2024.

1:33.3

But since then, outside the topics, anything that have sort of piqued your interest?

1:39.5

Yeah, I mean, I think the big things are, it's an election year and not just kind of what that means from a bigger sense, but from more micro sense, what that's meaning for the Fed and their choices, what that means for interest rates in this environment, and what that may mean for the broad path of, of, you know,

2:03.2

how this thing eventually kind of ends.

2:07.1

You know, we've talked about blow off top, but all those things are beginning to connect here

2:10.3

in an election year.

2:11.2

And I think that's the big thing that's top of mind for me.

...

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