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Top Traders Unplugged

SI256: Investor Behaviour & the How to Deal with Transaction Costs ft. Mark Rzepczynski

Top Traders Unplugged

Niels Kaastrup-Larsen

Business, Business News, Investing, News

4.8670 Ratings

🗓️ 12 August 2023

⏱️ 63 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Mark Rzepczynski is back to tackle some important topics relating to systematic trading. We discuss whether there is a best time of the year to trade and what has been driving the markets recently, how high interest rates and uncertainty affect investor behaviour, dispersion within markets and how it influences your trend following return. We also discuss quant research, the motivated reasoning bias and the importance of being open minded as a researcher to find better ways of being a trend follower, ways of dealing with transaction costs when building models, optimal ways of performing backtests and much more.

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Episode TimeStamps:

00:38 - Is there a best time to trade?

05:07 - What has caught Mark's attention recently?

08:36 - Industry performance update

10:01 - Will we see a change in investor behaviour?

17:04 - The benefit of cash

21:11 - Are guaranteed products making a comeback?

26:18 - The dispersion within markets

32:05 - The Ex ante and Ex post problem for quant research

39:23 - Stay open minded

43:46 - Dealing with transaction costs

56:53 - The road to robust models

01:00:37 - Thanks for listening

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Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

You're about to join Neil's Kostrup Larson on a raw and honest journey into the world of systematic investing

0:07.2

and learn about the most dependable and consistent yet often overlooked investment strategy.

0:13.2

Welcome to the Systematic Investor Series.

0:26.5

Welcome and welcome back to this week's edition of the systematic investor series with Mark Recibsinski and I, Neil's Castor Blasen,

0:30.1

where each week we take the pulse of the global market through the lens of a rules-based investor.

0:34.9

Mark, wonderful to be back with you this week.

0:38.2

How are you doing? Good. Always good to see you, too. Mark, wonderful to be back with you this week. How are you doing?

0:44.3

Good. Always good to see you, too. So we're in August, which is supposed to be a vacation month. But I don't know if August has always turned out to be a vacation. There seems as though

0:51.2

we're always getting hit with August surprises. I was having a discussion with some of my colleagues, and they said, like, well, we don't know whether August is going to be slow. And then someone else said, well, some people say, like, you should, you know, sell in May and wait until October. And then others have said, like, well, you never want to trade October, and then you don't want to trade December.

1:11.6

And the next thing you know, we came up with the reasons why we shouldn't be trading it

1:15.8

for at least nine to ten months out of 12.

1:18.8

So there never is a good or bad time for trading.

1:22.3

So we're vacations.

1:24.3

Well, okay, fair enough.

1:25.8

You know, of course, that historically, and this is very interesting,

1:30.7

completely off the topic, but now that you bring it up, just speaking about trading, right,

1:36.8

or whether you should trade or whether you should just invest and invest for the long term,

1:41.2

I don't know if you're aware of this,. I'm not sure whether this is something that is

1:44.6

also a rule in, in the US. But in Europe at least, if you are, I think if you're a broker,

1:52.5

you have to disclose the percentage of your clients that lose money on their accounts. And you have to disclose that on your website.

2:02.5

And I came across this point,

2:04.3

listening to a podcast and reading a book recently,

...

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