4.8 • 670 Ratings
🗓️ 25 March 2023
⏱️ 65 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Join us for an insightful conversation with Cem Karsan as he sheds light on the current financial landscape, from the recent banking crashes to Central Bank Rate Hikes and Geo-Political developments. Discover the reasons behind the unprecedented moves in the volatility space and how they're impacting different strategies, including trend following. Cem shares his thoughts on the critical importance of positioning and why volatility strategies are currently facing tough times. We'll also delve into the potential consequences of a loss of confidence in central banks and their policies, including much higher bond yields. And don't miss our discussion on how the upcoming U.S. Presidential Election will impact economic policies in the months to come. Tune in to gain valuable insights from one of the sharpest minds in finance.
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Episode TimeStamps:
02:03 - Reflecting on the current bank crashes
06:03 - The difficult situation for Powell
09:38 - The geopolitical perspective
12:38 - Surprises in the OpEx
18:03 - Weekly update
20:24 - The volatility winter
27:05 - Vol strategies in the equity space
30:38 - How volatility funds are finding it hard to make money at the moment?
36:11 - Are vol strategies on a downfall?
44:15 - A loss of confidence in Central Banks
48:09 - What are the signs to look for?
50:55 - The U.S election...and how it will affect...
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0:00.0 | You're about to join Neil's Kostrup Larson on a raw and honest journey into the world of systematic investing and learn about the most dependable and consistent yet often overlooked investment strategy. |
0:13.0 | Welcome to the Systematic Investor Series. |
0:28.2 | Welcome or welcome back to this week's edition of this systematic investor series with Jim Kassang and I, Neil's Castleblaston, |
0:32.3 | where each week we take the pulse of the global market through the lens of a rules-based investor. |
0:41.9 | If you're new to the show, I hope that today's episode will trigger your curiosity enough to check out the back catalogue and listen to the past episodes that you may have missed, like my conversation with Mark last week, where we naturally discussed the fallout on CTAs from the Silicon Valley |
0:46.6 | Bank issue and a few other bank emergencies. We also discussed how we are in a period of, as Mark |
0:52.8 | calls it, the great bond repricing |
0:54.6 | and what that means for the economy more broadly, a topic that I'm sure we'll revert to later on today. |
1:01.0 | Also, I very much would encourage you to listen to our midweek episode, which was highly |
1:06.8 | interesting. It's a conversation for those who want to hear an alternative view in terms of |
1:12.9 | the world's largest country. McKinsey said that we are living in the Indian century. |
1:18.7 | Morgan Stanley believes that 20% of global growth in the next decade will come from India, |
1:23.3 | but our guest, Princeton economist Ashoka Modi, has a different view, |
1:29.4 | which he details in his new book called India's Broken. |
1:32.9 | And this turned into a fascinating conversation with Kevin on the podcast. |
1:37.4 | So head over and check that out after you've been listening to Jim and I today. |
1:42.5 | Jim, it is wonderful to be back with you this week. How are things |
1:46.9 | where you are? Doing good. I'm actually at the Grand Canyon with my kids, believe it or not, |
1:52.8 | looking out over the canyon, so hopefully inspiration today. No, it's been a while. It's wonderful |
1:58.9 | to be back on. Fantastic, good stuff. |
2:03.4 | Now, even though it's been a few weeks since we last spoke, within the last couple of weeks, |
2:08.9 | I would say it has been quite eventful. We've had a few bank failures. We've had central |
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