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Top Traders Unplugged

SI233: The Market Impact of CTAs & Trend Followers ft. Alan Dunne

Top Traders Unplugged

Niels Kaastrup-Larsen

Business, Business News, Investing, News

4.8670 Ratings

🗓️ 4 March 2023

⏱️ 65 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Alan Dunne joins us for the weekly conversation on Trend Following, where we reflect on the broader perspective of the markets and the economy. We discuss how the unpredictablity of inflation and interest rates affect all parts of the economy and the transition from globalization to deglobalization, the size of the CTA and trend following industry and how articles on media like Bloomberg often creates a unrealistic narrative about CTAs through colorful headlines. We also discuss Why you should add trend following to your portfolio and How trend following is done, what we have learned from our recent conversations with the best CTA managers in the world and much more.

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50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

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Episode TimeStamps:

01:59 - Broad Macro observations

12:41 - How the economy responds to interest rates

17:03 - Moving in a new direction

20:54 - Reflecting on the month of February 2023

22:44 - Industry performance update

24:29 - Bloomberg article on CTAs impact on equity markets

31:41 - Colorful headlines

34:07 - Findings from Quantica paper on CTAs market footprint

43:45 - Why trend following & How to do it?

50:47 - Takeaways from the CTA series

01:02:51 - Thanks for listening

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Transcript

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0:00.0

You're about to join Neil's Kostrup Larson on a raw and honest journey into the world of systematic investing and learn about the most dependable and consistent yet often overlooked investment strategy.

0:13.0

Welcome to the Systematic Investor Series.

0:26.0

Welcome, welcome back to this week's edition of the Systematic Investor series with Alan Dunn and I, Neil's Castro Blasen, where each week we take the pulse of the global markets

0:30.3

through the lens of a rules-based investor.

0:33.2

Now, if you're newer to the show, I hope that today's episode will trigger your curiosity

0:36.9

enough to check out the back catalogue and listen to the past episodes you may have missed.

0:41.2

Like last week's episode with Nick, where we, among many topics,

0:44.9

discuss the pros and the cons of trend following the trend follows,

0:48.9

which is a bit of a mouthful to say, frankly.

0:51.5

Also, I would like to really encourage you to listen to the midweek episode

0:55.0

where Harry had a great conversation with Nikki Ferguson, who specializes in different types

1:00.1

of analysis of the energy markets and what really drives the price of them, which I think you'll

1:06.2

find a bit different and highly interesting. And of course, not to forget, I really do hope that you

1:11.7

will make time to tune in to the episodes that Alan and I have done with the largest CTA firms

1:17.3

in the world and where we really try to take the pulse of all of these successful managers,

1:22.5

more or less at the same moment in time, and cover a wide range of relevant topics for the firms themselves and the industry

1:29.7

as a whole. And we still have quite a few more to publish in this series. So, Alan, it seems like

1:36.2

we speak on a very regular basis at the moment. How are you doing all things in Dublin?

1:41.2

Yeah, everything is good here. Looking forward to the weekend.

1:44.8

And yeah, good to catch up with you again.

1:47.3

Absolutely, likewise.

1:48.5

And we do actually, and I say this every time, by the way, but we do actually have some

...

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