4.8 • 670 Ratings
🗓️ 10 December 2022
⏱️ 67 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Today, Rob Carver joins us for conversation on Trend Following with something for the both the individual everyday investor and the trend following nerds. We also catch up on this week's events which included news of the biggest one-week outflow of US Equity Mutual & ETF funds since April 2021 and the news that Blackstone will be limiting investor redemption's in one of their Real Estate funds. We discuss how Rob uses dynamic market selection to diversify his portfolio and how he plans out his trading year when it comes to deep dive analysis, how he implements and tests his continuous trend systems and if he believes in using tail protection strategies to manage risk. We also discuss how Rob implement his carry strategy, portfolio optimization and momentum factor investing, what the special Year-End Group episodes will bring and much more.
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Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
03:39 - What happened this week?
20:22 - Industry performance update
22:25 - Q1, Elie: Can you run a continous system without daily vol targeting? Can you calculate signal scaling with in-sample data? More info on the mean reversion system with a high sharpe?
34:42 - Q2, Matthijs: How does Rob think about protecting/diversifying his portfolio with tail protection strategies?
42:54 - Q3, Richard: Has Rob considered conditioning his carry forecasts based on asset class? Should I account for using the spread of nearest contract to nearest plus when calculating the raw carry...
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0:00.0 | You're about to join Neil's Kostrup Larson on a raw and honest journey into the world of systematic investing and learn about the most dependable and consistent yet often overlooked investment strategy. |
0:13.0 | Welcome to the Systematic Investor Series. |
0:33.2 | Welcome and welcome back to this week's edition of the systematic investor series with Rob Carver and I, Neil's Castel Larsen, where each week we take the pulse of the global market through the lens of a roles-based investor. |
0:43.5 | If you're new to the show, I hope that today's episode will trigger your curiosity enough to check out the back catalog and listen to the past episodes that you may have missed. |
0:55.7 | Like my conversation with Alan last week, where we discussed if there are strategies that can be used to diversify your trend following allocations such as shorter termterm strategies or if the cost of smoothing out returns this way is just simply too high in the long run. But also, if you |
1:02.3 | missed our Wednesday episode, I would really encourage you to listen to this midweek conversation |
1:08.5 | we had with Sean Hackett, which I think was one of the most interesting |
1:12.3 | conversations of the year, not least because it's kind of outside my own area of expertise. |
1:18.3 | And perhaps it could be one of the most important ones for people who believe in having |
1:23.3 | commodities as part of their diversified portfolio. We know that weather can have massive impact |
1:28.8 | on commodity markets, but in a period where inflation is already elevated, the coming weather |
1:34.7 | volatility that Sean sees coming may well end up also having an effect on bond yields, on stock |
1:40.9 | prices and currencies in the coming year. So, as mentioned, I would encourage you to |
1:46.0 | go back and listen to these episodes when you're finished listening to Rob and me today. |
1:51.3 | Rob, great to be back with you this week. So much continues to happen between our conversations. |
1:57.4 | How are you doing? Yeah, it's quite good the listeners can't see the video fee because you're sitting there in your t-shirt, |
2:04.6 | looking nice and toasty and wearing a baseball cap. |
2:08.6 | And I'm here wearing about 17 layers and a very warm fleecy hat because it's minus four here. |
2:14.6 | And my wooden recording studio, unlike yours, is not very well insulated. |
2:18.9 | So, but it's sunny, which is nice. |
2:21.7 | But it is, you know, and obviously people from Scandinavia in Switzerland will say that minus four is summer. |
2:29.5 | But for us kind of feeble Brits, this, you know, the sudden plunge in temperatures has been a bit of a shock. |
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