SI204: Trend Following & A Cocktail of Macro Factors ft. Alan Dunne

Top Traders Unplugged

Niels Kaastrup-Larsen

Business, Business News, Investing, News

4.8 • 670 Ratings

🗓️ 6 August 2022

⏱️ 68 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Today, Alan Dunne joins us to discuss the ongoing instability in the markets and rising inflation, and why we, as investors, should keep an open mind for what is to come. We address the pros and cons of replication strategies, the performance of the past months and why we are beginning to see a shift in the markets. We review some recent articles, including an interview with Edward Chancellor, who is current with a new book, The Price of Time. Topics we cover include the impact of low interest rates, how we are in a war economy and how we are seeing a shift in the aggregate supply curve, expectations and predictions for inflation in the coming time and much more.

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Episode TimeStamps:

00:00 - Intro

02:02 - What happened this week?

14:20 - Trend Following update of the week

16:55 - Replicating vs. hiring managers

22:30 - Reflecting on the past months market reversals

40:36 - Why is Trend Following performing well at the moment?

48:06 - Discussing Edward Chancellor’s interview

53:06 - Zoltan Pozsar’s article on war and interest rates

58:56 - Bridgewater article on inflation and conversation with Bilal Hafeez

01:06:45 - Thanks for listening

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Transcript

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0:00.0	You're about to join Neil's Kostrup Larson on a raw and honest journey into the world of systematic investing and learn about the most dependable and consistent yet often overlooked investment strategy.
0:13.0	Welcome to the Systematic Investor Series.
0:26.9	Welcome and welcome back to this week's edition of the Systematic Investor series with Alan Dunn and I, Niels Castblassen, where each week we take the pulse of the global
0:31.1	markets through the lens of a rules-based investor.
0:33.8	Now, if you're new to the show, I hope that today's episode will trigger your curiosity enough to check out the back catalog and listen to the past episodes that you may have missed.
0:42.2	Like last week's episode with Jerry, where he revealed how he's now taking a new direction in his trend following journey that actually may make him less of a classical CTA in terms of delivering non-correlator returns to equities,
0:56.0	so you don't want to miss that episode.
0:58.9	Also, I would like to encourage you to listen to the midweek episode where Alan had a great conversation with Bilal Hafiz on all things global macro,
1:06.6	an episode that contains some non-consensus forecast for sure.
1:10.8	And I think Alan and I will touch on this a little bit later in our conversation today.
1:15.0	But do go and listen to the full episode when you have a moment.
1:20.2	As you know, the aim of the podcast is to inspire you to become the best investor that you can be.
1:25.2	We want to be prerogative without being polarizing,
1:28.4	and we want to challenge consensus narratives and to advocate how you can think critically
1:32.8	about investing in a uncertain world and to provide you with a framework and a mindset that
1:38.1	we believe is truly robust. Alan, it's always great to see you.
1:45.4	How are things in Dublin today?
1:47.2	Very good.
1:47.8	Yeah, good to see you too.
1:49.1	We're recording on Friday.
1:50.6	It's winding down for the weekend soon.
1:52.6	So, yeah, looking forward to our conversation today.
	...

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