SI147: The Perfect Exit Strategy ft. Moritz Seibert
Top Traders Unplugged
Niels Kaastrup-Larsen
4.8 • 712 Ratings
🗓️ 4 July 2021
⏱️ 65 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Moritz Seibert joins us today discuss the benefits of stripping down your trading approach as much as possible, the various ways to exit a hugely profitable trade, the different forms of research related to your investing approach, simplification vs over-complication, the acceptable amount of margin per trade, spread-betting using a Trend Following strategy, and if you should trade all markets the same way or tailor to each market accordingly.
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50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE
In this episode, we discuss:
- The benefits of simplifying your trading approach as much as possible
- Optimal exits from hugely profitable trades
- How to engage in related to your investment approach
- Over complicating a trading strategy
- Acceptable margin amounts
- Spread-trading using a Trend Following strategy
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Episode TimeStamps:
00:00 - Intro
02:28 - Macro recap from Niels
03:53 - Weekly review of returns
11:01 - The commodities reflation trade and Moritz’s trade in Lumber
14:32 - Q1 & Q2; Andreas: How do you justify your fee structure? What long-term returns should we expect from a short-term CTA? At what point does enhancing a strategy become over-complicating it?
29:20 - Q3; Mark: What are some of the best look back periods?
34:13 - Q4; Frank: Do CTAs place any importance on the Commitment of Traders report?
41:14 - Q5; John: What is a normal amount of margin that CTAs use?
42:30 - Q6, Q7 & Q8; Babek: Should you trade all markets using the same approach? How do you deal with downside risks once a large profitable uptrend is established? Should position size be increased if the number of open trades is less than the maximum?
01:01:56 - Benchmark performance update
Copyright © 2025 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved
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PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:
1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about
In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here
2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score
One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here
3. Other Resources that can help you
And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here
Transcript
Click on a timestamp to play from that location
| 0:00.0 | You're about to join Jerry Parker, Maritz Siebert, and Neil's Kostrup Larson on their |
| 0:06.3 | raw and honest journey into the world of systematic investing and learn about the most dependable |
| 0:11.6 | and consistent yet often overlooked investment strategy. Welcome to the Systematic Investor podcast series. |
| 0:22.5 | Welcome or welcome back to this week's edition of the Systematic Investor Series, |
| 0:26.1 | with Moritz Sieber and I, Neil's Castleblaston, |
| 0:28.2 | where each week we take the pulse of the global markets through the lens of a rules-based |
| 0:32.9 | investor. |
| 0:33.9 | If you're new to the show, let me start by saying welcome, with the hope that today's episode |
| 0:38.2 | will trigger your curiosity and hunger for learning enough to check out the back catalog |
| 0:43.0 | and listen to the past episodes that you may have missed. |
| 0:46.5 | Like last week's episode with Rob, where we had a lot of really great questions that had been |
| 0:52.0 | sent in and where we also discussed how you can combine |
| 0:55.3 | simple trend following models into a balanced and robust trading system and a lot more. |
| 1:02.0 | So if you missed that episode, I invite you to go and check it out. |
| 1:05.8 | Also, let me quickly give a shout out to all of you who took the time to leave us a rating and |
| 1:13.0 | review this week. And I really loved a couple of them that I want to highlight. One was from |
| 1:18.1 | Somelier, from the US. I have a feeling I actually know who that might be. And he wrote, |
| 1:24.6 | would you like to have a coffee each week with the trading legends? |
| 1:29.3 | This is your opportunity. |
| 1:31.2 | And maybe that's a good way to think about what we do, namely, |
| 1:34.6 | on having an ongoing and casual, pretty honest conversation of what it's like to be a trend for. |
| 1:41.4 | And then let me also mention a great one from Abbey in India who headed this |
... |
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