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The Inquiry

Should we be worried about the return of inflation?

The Inquiry

BBC

News Commentary, News

4.61.7K Ratings

🗓️ 16 December 2021

⏱️ 24 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

As prices rise across the world, Tanya Beckett asks if this is a temporary blip owing to the pandemic, or a longer lasting return of inflation. Should we be worried and should policy makers be more willing to raise interest rates to deal with it?

Contributors: Roger Bootle, Chairman, Capital Economics Bronwyn Curtis, former Governor, London School of Economics Claudia Sahm, Senior Fellow, Jain Family Institute Holger Schmieding, Chief Economist, Berenberg

Presenter: Tanya Beckett Producer: Sheila Cook

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Hi, I'm Namo Lanter Combo and my podcast Dear Daughter is available now.

0:05.5

It's a handbook to life for daughters everywhere. Find out more at the end of this podcast.

0:12.6

Welcome to the inquiry with me, Tanya Beckett. One question for expert witnesses and an answer.

0:21.1

Prices are shooting up all over the globe for food, fuel and energy. Even tomato ketchup we've

0:34.7

been warned may not escape a price hike. Inflation has been low in major economies for years,

0:44.4

but now it's running at a rate not seen in decades. Is this a temporary blip or a more permanent

0:52.8

change and should policymakers be less reluctant to use a rise in interest rates to bring it under

0:59.6

control? This week on the inquiry we're asking, should we be worried about the return of inflation?

1:10.0

Part 1 Signs of inflation

1:26.3

Our first expert witness is Claudia Sam, senior fellow at the Jane Family Institute,

1:32.1

a research organisation which looks amongst other things at social wealth.

1:36.8

How high is inflation in America when you put it into a historical context? Right now in the United

1:46.0

States inflation, year over year is running at the highest level we have seen in decades.

1:53.4

And that level is currently around 6%. Claudia used to work as an economist for America's Central

2:01.2

Bank the Federal Reserve which sets interest rates so she has a lot of experience in keeping a close

2:07.6

eye on the twists and turns in the economy. Inflation picked up in the United States in the late

2:15.3

spring early summer of 2021. Claudia says as the pandemic appeared to ease, there was a rush to

2:23.8

buy certain goods which pushed prices higher. Some of the areas where it came first were

2:32.8

used cars, electronics. So those were some of the first areas and they were very unusual.

2:39.2

Right, used cars do not normally add much to inflation and frankly goods don't either.

2:44.8

As the economy opened up we did see Americans go back to driving and traveling and so some of the

2:51.7

prices that had been really low last year made a pretty quick rebound. Cars were not the only

...

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