Sept. 2025 Housing Market Update: Mild Correction, Any Signs of a Crash?

BiggerPockets Real Estate Podcast

BiggerPockets

Education, Business, Investing

4.8 • 16.5K Ratings

🗓️ 26 September 2025

⏱️ 36 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

We can definitively say it now: the buyer’s market is here. The housing market is cooling down, but the deals are heating up as a “mild” correction slows down hot markets and gives buyers even more power in cold ones. With it comes buying opportunities—ones that real estate investors have been starved of over the past few years. You can negotiate for more, offer less, and lock in a lower mortgage rate than last year. The question is: will this correction turn into a full-blown housing crash? Dave’s giving you his honest (and data-backed) opinion in this September 2025 housing market update! Mortgage delinquencies are rising rapidly in one subset of the market, the crash-bro clickbaiters say it’s a sign of a coming housing apocalypse—are they finally right about something? One thing is certain: a few housing markets across the US are in danger of slipping into an even more oversupplied market. But, with new data showing that sellers are quitting and walking away, will this reverse the worrying trend? Stick around, we’ve got your housing market update without the hype. In This Episode We Cover The “mild” housing market correction: what it means and whether it’ll become a crash Updated home price predictions and how much prices will rise/fall by the end of the year Signs that you can start confidently bidding under asking price (but by how much?) Why inventory is beginning to reverse (have sellers finally had enough?) Mortgage delinquencies are rising: who’s affected and could it lead to foreclosures? What investors should do now to prepare to buy discounted deals (be patient!) And So Much More! Check out more resources from this show on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠BiggerPockets.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/real-estate-1179 Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠[email protected]⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0	The buyer's market is here. Deals are getting better, but there is risk in the market too.
0:05.9	So the key is to understand exactly what's happening right now, so you know a good deal when you see it,
0:12.6	and you can avoid costly mistakes. Are home prices likely to go up or down? Could the
0:18.0	correction turn into a crash? Today, we're breaking down the most
0:21.9	recent housing market data to help you understand how to find and execute on the increasing
0:27.6	opportunities in the housing market.
0:34.8	Hey, everyone. Welcome to the Bigger Pockets podcast. Thank you so much for being here. I'm Dave
0:39.8	Meyer, real estate investor and housing market analyst. And today on the show, we're going to be
0:45.5	looking at the data as we do every single month. And today we have a lot to cover. The market
0:52.0	is moving into a correction, as I've been saying was likely all year,
0:57.0	and this creates interesting dynamics for investors, both good and bad. So today we'll start
1:03.3	with what's happening with both prices nationally and regionally. We'll talk a little bit about
1:08.9	what's likely to happen with price growth and appreciation in the next year. We'll even get into how rents are trending a little bit about what's likely to happen with price growth and appreciation in the next year.
1:12.8	We'll even get into how rents are trending a little bit, inventory trends, housing market health, because we got to monitor if the correction is going to turn into a crash.
1:21.9	And then, of course, at the end, we'll talk about what this all means. Let's do it.
1:26.2	So let's talk about price growth first, because this is an important one, of course.
1:30.3	Everyone wants to know this one.
1:32.3	And it's the one that really is changing.
1:34.3	I think, according to the data, we are in a correction at this point.
1:39.3	It really depends on who you ask what the exact number is, but most reliable sources have price appreciation
1:46.8	somewhere between positive 1% and negative 1%. So pretty darn close to even, but that is on
1:54.9	a nominal level. And that is really important to remember. We'll talk about that a couple
	...

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