I'm Nate Silver. I'm a journalist, a statistician, and a high-stakes poker player.

I spent my career analyzing elections, media, sports, poker, and how people make decisions under pressure.

On my podcast, risky business, I, along with my co-host Maria Konnikova, bring that lens to our headlines,

breaking down the odds and risks behind

momentous campaign strategies, decisive policy choices, and pivotal deals.

We also share a few poker stories, our biggest bets, our baddest feats, and what they taught us

about making better decisions. Risky Business drops new episodes every week, wherever you get your

podcasts.

I'm Margaret Brennan in Washington, and this week on Face the Nation is Israel's

war with Hamas finally coming to an end. Meanwhile, the government shutdown continues with no end

in sight. Two years after the October 7th massacre that killed more than 1,200 Israelis

is a serious plan for a full hostage release and ceasefire in Gaza finally materializing.

Secretary of State Marco Rubio will tell us where that deal stands and what's ahead for Gaza,

where more than 67,000 have been killed in the

war's destruction. Plus, the Trump administration continues to ramp up its federal presence in

blue cities. We're going to straighten them out one by one. It's the enemy from within,

and we have to handle it before it gets out of control. And we'll take a closer look at the Trump Department of Wars, new rules for the military.

Illinois Democratic Senator Tammy Duckworth will join us, as well as retired Army Lieutenant General Ben Hodges.

Finally, as Congress continues, their standoff on government funding. We'll talk

with House Speaker Mike Johnson and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer about why Americans say

the shutdown is hurting both political parties. It's all just ahead on Face the Nation. Good morning and welcome to Face the Nation.

When word came late Friday that Hamas was open to the

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