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The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff

Seattle Seahawks 2022 NFL Sports Betting Preview

The Simple Handicap: Daily NFL Betting Podcast with Adam Chernoff

Adam Chernoff

Football, Sports

4.81.3K Ratings

🗓️ 25 July 2022

⏱️ 19 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Preview Start: 5:20


Jason Logan Seattle Seahawks Preview: Seattle Seahawks Odds, Picks & Betting Preview 2022 (covers.com)

Circa Millions Contest: Circa | Sports Million IV Pro Football Contest - Circa | Sports (circasports.com)


Is Drew Lock in 2022 on trajectory for Jameis Winston in 2019? Three seasons ago, Jameis Winston threw 33 touchdowns and 30 interceptions enroute to the Buccaneers playing over their posted total in 12 of 16 games. The boom or bust play of Winston put points on the scoreboard - both ways - quickly, but he an Lock share similarities in their playing style. With an average posted total this season 10 points lower than the '19 Buccaneers, this could be intriguing for bettors. 

1. In his last full season of play, Drew Lock had the third highest intended air yards in the league, combined one of the highest aggressive throw percentages. He is not scared to throw the ball down field when trailing - and Seattle will be trailing, often. 

2. The only roster area Seattle ranks inside the top 7 as a consensus ranking is wide receiver. DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett are dynamic downfield targets for Lock to throw at. The third option of Dee Eskridge with his speed is worth noting too. 

3. The Seattle defense is likely to be one of the worst 5-6 units in the entire league with weaknesses up front (bottom 2-3) and in the secondary (bottom 3-4). This is not a team built to shut down opposing offenses, especially on short fields. 

4. The combination of Lock's willingness to throw downfield to dynamic wide receivers and the defenses inability to get stops, should lead to lots of boom or bust throw attempts (explosive passes or INT's) which are condusive to points. 

5. Considering Seattle is priced in projections as a low 40's total team (41-43) these are not numbers that are set to sustain a lot of variance and due to how low they are, could make the Seahawks a sneaky over team in 2022. 

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

what a beautiful Monday morning. It is July 25th, the first episode of the Simple

0:09.8

Handicap for 2022, 2023 NFL. And let me tell you guys, it is an absolute treat to be back

0:19.1

on the air. This summer, I don't know what it was about it, but it just

0:23.5

had me itching for football since about kind of mid-May just following the draft. These last

0:30.5

couple of months have been an absolute grind waiting to get to football, waiting to get back

0:36.8

into it because it's just, I say it all the

0:40.3

time. You hear me say it all the time. There is nothing greater on this planet than watching

0:47.8

and betting on football. It is the greatest sport in the world, and there is not even a close second.

0:53.4

And so to struggle through

0:55.4

all of these sports that the summer months brought us and finally get back to this point,

0:59.7

it is an absolute treat to be here again. It is absolutely fantastic to have each and every

1:04.9

one of you back with me listening for another season, more than 1.25 million downloads lifetime of the podcast in 19

1:14.0

different countries. Download it around the world. If this is your first time here,

1:18.5

welcome to the show. If you're returning, it is fantastic to have you back as we are back to

1:24.6

football. Before we get to the first team preview of the Seattle Seahawks to kick things

1:29.6

off in 2022, let's break down how this is going to work. If you're new to this,

1:35.3

this will be your little schedule going forward, the one-time reminder. If this is something that

1:39.7

you're used to, you know the drill. But let's break it down every Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday,

1:45.4

Friday from now until the first week of the NFL season, I will be talking about a team in detail

1:53.9

each morning to get you ready, not just reiterating what I hear everywhere else, but trying to

2:00.7

give you something that you can listen

2:02.3

to on these podcasts every morning that you can use early in the season and can shape how you

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