S8 Ep955: (2) Continuing their debate, Gaius and Germanicus debunk the "Thucydides Trap," labeling it a modern "literary invention" rather than a historical law. They argue the Peloponnesian War was not an inevitable clash but was triggered by Pericles baiting Spar
The John Batchelor Show
John Batchelor
4.5 • 2.8K Ratings
🗓️ 1 June 2026
⏱️ 14 minutes
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| 0:00.0 | This is the Friendsfister Debating Society. |
| 0:07.2 | We're in Lundinium, Germanicus and Gaius and our Centurian friends and the wine steward. |
| 0:13.2 | And we're having a conversation about the American way of war. |
| 0:17.4 | And Germanicus mentions a recent development in the contest between Beijing, the Forbidden City, and the Beltway, Washington. |
| 0:28.7 | In the meeting in Beijing, in a forest of ancient trees, I was amused, Germanicus, that the American desk in Beijing did not |
| 0:41.7 | pick up on the frightful image of Winnie the Pooh in the 100-acre forest. |
| 0:49.5 | I leave it alone. However, it was Xi Jinping to say out loud for the president to hear and everybody to hear in the notes by the journalists. |
| 1:02.1 | I don't think we have a Thucydides trap. |
| 1:04.5 | And Mr. Trump, the emperor, said, neither do I. |
| 1:07.7 | What is this lucidity's trap? |
| 1:09.8 | Herodotus born in Anatolia at the beginning of the 5th century BC. |
| 1:16.9 | Thucydides born in the middle of the century, a generation younger, |
| 1:21.4 | or maybe even two generations younger than Herodotus. |
| 1:24.5 | And then Xenophon, these are the three great historians of the fifth century and fourth |
| 1:30.2 | century BC. That's the battle between Sparta and Persia. Sparta emerges at the hero because of |
| 1:37.4 | Thermopoulos. The battle between Sparta and Athens, the Dallian League, which was the Athenian Empire. |
| 1:46.5 | And Athens wins that, except then one more Coda, a man named Lysander from Sparta, |
| 1:53.4 | defeats the Athenians. |
| 1:55.5 | And the Spartans turn out to be, it's just as brutal and presumptive and dictatorial as the Athenians, |
| 2:02.7 | everybody goes, hey, we switched one bully for another bully. So they go to Thebes, |
| 2:08.2 | and the Thebans, as Michael just said, defeat Sparta. Okay. The Thucydides trap was in between. |
| 2:16.4 | The idea here is that, and it's a modern invention, it's not ancient. |
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