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The John Batchelor Show

S8 Ep805: 10. The Terminal Stage and Impending Collapse of OPEC Guest: Michael Bernstam Summary: Bernstam argues OPEC is dying due to the US shale revolution turning America into an exporter. The UAE's departure signals a broader collapse as nations seek to bypass

The John Batchelor Show

John Batchelor

Society & Culture, Arts, News, Books

4.52.8K Ratings

🗓️ 30 April 2026

⏱️ 8 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

10. The Terminal Stage and Impending Collapse of OPEC Guest: Michael Bernstam Summary: Bernstam argues OPEC is dying due to the US shale revolution turning America into an exporter. The UAE's departure signals a broader collapse as nations seek to bypass production quotas for individual profit. 10
1865

Transcript

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0:00.0

I'm John Benson with my good colleague Michael Bernstein of the Hoover Institution.

0:19.7

We followed Russia and the

0:20.8

sanctions. We followed the Ukraine war via the Russian budget. We now follow the Straits of Formuz and the

0:27.9

Babam and Dhab and the price of oil and fertilizer and liquefied natural gas and other exotic

0:34.5

materials that are necessary to run the planet. Now we're going to follow

0:37.8

something even bigger and more infamous. OPEC. It's the winter of 73-74. I'm in London.

0:46.7

The lights are out at the British Museum. John, a very young seminary student, is wondering

0:52.0

around the British Museum trying to get oriented,

0:54.4

but they won't turn the lights on.

0:56.5

So all I have is the sunlight coming from the roof windows down across the Roman collection.

1:03.6

I remember it vividly.

1:04.9

And back to my bed sitter, you could put as many shillings as you want into the meter.

1:09.1

There was no heat coming out.

1:10.8

It was a bad time in London.

1:12.6

That was OPEC.

1:14.4

Here we are all these decades later, Michael.

1:16.8

Is OPEC still powerful because somebody just left the room?

1:23.0

OPEC is in its terminal stage.

1:26.3

Next year it will be 60 years old.

1:28.3

I wouldn't give it to the age of retirement to 65, because OPEC existed at the time of global

1:37.3

world oil shortages.

1:38.3

What happened in the last 20 years has been a major energy revolution, namely the United States shale revolution.

...

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