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This is John Batchelor, a conversation with Professor James Holmes of the Naval War

College about lessons learned in the war in the Gulf right now that can be applied

or that will be applied by the People's Republic of China

in the event that they attack Taiwan. One of the lessons that is obvious is that in the Middle

East, in the Iran War, time is said to be on Iran side. Longer they drag this out, the less likely

it is for the U.S. to prevail. The longer they've refused to surrender, the less likely it is for the U.S. to prevail. The longer they've refused to

surrender, the less like it is for the U.S. to stay. However, can that be applied to Taiwan? Here

Jim describes how. First day of war, we lose. What about the 50th day of war? More of this

tonight.

Jim Holmes.

Yeah, absolutely.

I always try to make time your friend.

Mike Gallagher, Representative Gallagher, would like to say that if there was a short war in the Taiwan Strait, China is going to win.

And I think that's absolutely true.

We're not going to be stronger than China in China's backyard on day one of a conflict. We're going to need time to try to assemble forces, get inside the Athea access scenario

...