S8 Ep588: 1. In Londinium, 92 AD, Gaius and Germanicus analyze the 21st-century conflict between a US-Israeli coalition and Iran, comparing its focus on supply chains to the 1941 oil sanctions against Japan. While the Americans expected a swift "four-day shock and
The John Batchelor Show
John Batchelor
4.5 • 2.8K Ratings
🗓️ 16 March 2026
⏱️ 25 minutes
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Summary
1. In Londinium, 92 AD, Gaius and Germanicus analyze the 21st-century conflict between a US-Israeli coalition and Iran, comparing its focus on supply chains to the 1941 oil sanctions against Japan. While the Americans expected a swift "four-day shock and awe"campaign and a leadership "decap strike" to force negotiations, Iran responded with asymmetrical warfare. By targeting the Strait of Hormuz, Iran has driven oil prices toward $120-$150 per barrel, threatening a global economic collapse. Germanicus critiques the American"siren song" of strategic bombing, noting it historically fails to win wars without ground occupation. Unlike the adaptive Romans who rose from defeat during the Punic Wars, modern US leaders—including Rubio, Vance, and Hegseth—are criticized for lacking dissenting voices and the historical perspective needed to reorganize after strategic failures. (1)
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| 0:20.3 | Good day. This is the Friends of History Debating Society. I am Gaius. It is Lundidium Spring, |
| 0:27.4 | 92 AD, a beautiful weekend. And I welcome my good friend and colleague of many years, Germanicus. |
| 0:36.1 | We are in our favorite wine bar by the Thames, which is come, |
| 0:40.3 | given that it is March, the first month of the year. We're expecting spring. We're expecting |
| 0:47.8 | better weather, and certainly we can anticipate a bountiful harvest. |
| 0:55.4 | Right now, however, it is difficult to enjoy 92 AD, |
| 1:00.5 | and the centurions are crowding in because they know there's war in the 21st century, |
| 1:05.3 | and they want to know what the update is. |
| 1:07.5 | Gentlemen, we have the update. |
| 1:08.8 | It's not that profoundly different from friday more and more |
| 1:12.5 | death and destruction raining down from the sky we are however going to address this in terms of |
| 1:20.1 | our learning from the first century a d and our education about the first century bCE that's the |
| 1:27.2 | roman civil wars s Sulla, Caesar, |
| 1:30.8 | and Octavian, if that third was a civil war. Certainly defeating Mark Antony, looks like a civil |
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