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The John Batchelor Show

S8 Ep505: Bill Roggio and John Hardie reflect on four years of war in Ukraine, examining initial intelligence failures regarding Russian capabilities and the subsequent shift toward defensive, drone-centric modern warfare. 7.

The John Batchelor Show

John Batchelor

Society & Culture, Arts, News, Books

4.52.8K Ratings

🗓️ 24 February 2026

⏱️ 11 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Bill Roggio and John Hardie reflect on four years of war in Ukraine, examining initial intelligence failures regarding Russian capabilities and the subsequent shift toward defensive, drone-centric modern warfare.  1916 ODESSA

Transcript

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0:00.0

I'm John Batchel with Bill Rajo, Senior Fellow Foundation for Defense of Democracy,

0:20.6

keeping the Long War

0:21.4

Journal and a major report on Long War Journal and at the Foundation for the Defense of Democracy

0:27.3

website, check that as well. John Hardy following the war in Ukraine, and we are now past the

0:34.7

anniversary of the fourth anniversary of the start of war, February of 2022, beginning our fifth year.

0:43.0

John, a very good evening to you.

0:45.2

My memories of those early days is that the U.S. expected Russia to roll over the Ukrainian forces and take Kiev.

0:53.9

I remember video of a young woman holding an automatic weapon. to roll over the Ukrainian forces and take Kiev.

0:57.7

I remember video of a young woman holding an automatic weapon,

1:00.7

weeping, as I recall, she was quite frightened,

1:03.9

asked by the correspondent, do you know how to use that?

1:06.1

She said, they trained us, but I don't know how to shoot.

1:09.1

And I thought at this point, it could be over.

1:10.8

However, it didn't happen.

1:15.8

And all these years later, I puzzle about why it didn't happen.

1:17.9

Yes, the Ukrainians wouldn't leave.

1:21.6

But at the same time, what was the Russian war plan? And I remember in particular a column of Russian equipment, maybe included tanks, I don't recall, stuck on a road not moving,

1:31.9

just sitting there for days after days. It was a big puzzle to report. Do you recall that column?

1:38.1

And do you recall when it was that we, in the media, finally figured out that it wasn't going well for the Russians. Good evening to you,

1:46.5

John. Hi, John. Hey, Bill. Thanks for having me back on the show. Yeah, you're bringing back

1:52.4

some pretty wild memories of kind of sitting up all night in my apartment in deep in Washington,

1:58.7

D.C. and kind of trying to gather what information we could

...

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