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The John Batchelor Show

S8 Ep420: Andrea Stricker evaluates the stressed Non-Proliferation Treaty ahead of a review conference, noting Middle East proliferation risks and the challenge of deterring near-peer adversaries in an evolving threat environment.

The John Batchelor Show

John Batchelor

Society & Culture, Arts, News, Books

4.52.8K Ratings

🗓️ 5 February 2026

⏱️ 7 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Andrea Stricker evaluates the stressed Non-Proliferation Treaty ahead of a review conference, noting Middle Eastproliferation risks and the challenge of deterring near-peer adversaries in an evolving threat environment.
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Transcript

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0:00.0

I'm John Bachelor with Andrea Stricker of the Foundation for the Defense of Democracies.

0:21.9

Andrea is the deputy director of the nonproliferation program at the Foundation for Defensive Democracies.

0:28.5

Stents the reason, Andrea, that because you're in a nonproliferation program, you would be the one accounting for the proliferation.

0:36.8

It certainly looks to me that no one is

0:38.8

persuaded that nonproliferation is an answer. Is that your experience? You know, John, nonproliferation

0:45.5

is often a good answer. Arms control is a positive solution, but only if it's in the national

0:52.4

interest, only if it makes sense for the U.S. to be able to deter

0:57.2

two near-peer nuclear adversaries who could join together ostensibly in a nuclear attack

1:04.7

against the United States in a doomsday scenario. We need to be able to assure our allies in

1:10.3

Europe and Asia that we will come to

1:13.5

their defense in the event of a nuclear attack, but better we want to deter that kind of attack

1:18.3

from happening at all to make Russia and China fear a massive strike in return should they do that.

1:25.9

And so I think today with both of these two powers on the

1:30.2

move as far as their arsenals and their delivery capabilities, it makes sense for the U.S.

1:35.2

to consider whether arms control is really in its interest or whether it needs to reassess.

1:41.3

You point in your article to an upcoming important meeting in 2026, I believe in the

1:47.8

springtime. Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, 11th Review Conference. This is United Nations

1:53.9

Run, Office for Disarmament Affairs. Is this a positive or routines, is this something where they can talk seriously about non-reliferation?

2:04.6

Or is this just about the top floors of the UN building?

2:10.0

It is an important conference.

2:11.8

It happens every five years to review the implementation of the NPT.

2:15.7

And under the NPT, of course, the nuclear weapon states

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