Welcome to the Eric Erickson Show podcast, our two.

Hello America, welcome.

It's Eric Erickson here across the fruited plane.

I'm delighted to have you with me.

The phone number 8773797-973425, should you wish to be on the program.

Let us talk about Donald Trump.

All right.

You know, Donald Trump can win in November of 2024.

The concern that I have there is that he will have to spend so much money and outside groups will have to spend so much money to get him across the finish line,

more so than other candidates, that you'll leave money, you'll take money away from Senate candidates.

So you may win the presidency and lose the Senate and you need the Senate, particularly if Donald

Trump's president. Other candidates, I think you won't have to spend as much money to get them to beat Biden.

Polling even seems to suggest that, that given the level of intempathy, Americans generally have for Trump and for Biden, but more so for Trump, you throw a wild card and find someone other than Trump, you're going to have an easier time getting that person elected, which frees up resources to pick up as many seats as possible in the Senate and save the House. There's a calculation there. You need maximum

power for a Republican to get anything done, including Donald Trump. And so the less you have to

spend to get that presidential candidate across the finish line, the more money you spend on others.

However, he could still win. And it's something I think most

people don't really appreciate, particularly on the Democratic side, when you look, for example,

at just where he stacks up against Joe Biden.

In the real-cler politics polling average,

Joe Biden is only up 5 tenths of a percent.

In morning consult, Joe Biden's up two.

In Emerson College, they're tied.

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