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The Breakdown

S&P 5 vs. S&P 500: The Real Story of the Stock Market Recovery

The Breakdown

Blockworks

Investing, Business

4.8786 Ratings

🗓️ 20 August 2020

⏱️ 18 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Today, NLW debuts a new format: “10 Takes in 10(ish) Minutes.”  In this analysis, he looks at 10 takes surrounding the S&P 500’s return to positive territory on the year, including: Great American comeback Market disconnect and widening inequality  Don’t fight the Fed To the Stoolies go the spoils Stock splits and SPACs It’s Tech vs. everything else Cantillon insiders FTW A new era of global liquidity? You’d have done better with gold You’d have done a lot a lot better with bitcoin

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

This is the part of the market recovery narrative that is on the one hand the most obvious

0:04.8

and on the other hand, the most ignored by media. This is not a story of S&P 500 success. This is a story

0:12.0

of S&P 5 success. That's the deal. That's the take. That's the whole thing. It is the S&P 5.

0:19.5

This is a tech-driven rally. And we can have a conversation

0:22.9

about whether that's deserved and how much this is showing just how much of our lives are moving

0:27.4

online, right? Maybe this isn't a bad signal or rather a non-indicative signal. Maybe this is an

0:32.9

indication of just how important these companies are compared to everything else. Maybe this is

0:37.1

correct.

0:37.9

However, we still can't ignore the fact that the other 495 companies on the S&P 500 are simply

0:45.5

not performing. This is not a story of stock market success. It's a story of technology consolidation.

0:53.5

Welcome back to The Breakdown with me, NLW. It's a daily

0:58.5

podcast on macro, Bitcoin, and the big picture power shifts remaking our world. The breakdown is

1:04.6

sponsored by crypto.com, BitStamp, and nexo.io, and produced and distributed by CoinDes.

1:13.1

What's going on, guys? It is Wednesday, August 19th, and today we are discussing just how real

1:21.6

is this stock market recovery. Now, this is one of those episodes where the whole episode feels like the brief

1:29.5

in some way. In fact, I'm actually debuting a experimental format today. I'm calling it roughly

1:36.3

10 takes in 10 minutes. And if you've listened to this show, you know there's no way I'll keep

1:41.1

it to 10 minutes, but I'm going to try, or at least I'm going to try to be a little bit quicker. So what I'm going to do is I'm going to go through 10 different

1:48.0

takes or interpretations of the S&P 500, which closed at a record high yesterday. It had

1:54.7

wiped out the losses from the coronavirus shutdowns. And so obviously there is a lot of

2:00.4

narrative making and meaning claiming

2:02.9

around this event. And I thought it'd be fun to quick hit go through a bunch of different

...

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