#Russia: Russia speculators target the weakening rouble. Michael Bernstam, Hoover Institution.
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🗓️ 24 August 2023
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#Russia: Russia speculators target the weakening rouble. Michael Bernstam, Hoover Institution.
https://www.theguardian.com/business/2023/aug/16/putin-meeting-capital-controls-rouble-report
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | This is CBS. I am the world. I'm John Bashar. The Russian rubble in question. I welcome |
| 0:11.2 | Michael Bernstom of the Hoover Institution, who's been my guide on the Russian economy |
| 0:16.0 | under sanctions since the beginning of the invasion of Ukraine. Now it turns on the |
| 0:21.3 | rubble per dollar. When last we spoke of the rubble, it had momentarily gone through |
| 0:27.5 | a hundred. I think it topped it about one, two, or one, three to the dollar. And then |
| 0:32.8 | as Michael explained, the central bank entered into the marketplace and obliged the rubble |
| 0:39.8 | to retreat into the high 90s. That was the last episode, the adventure of the rubble. |
| 0:45.2 | Michael a very good evening to you. Where is the rubble now? And what are the plans for |
| 0:50.7 | the rubble? Given that if I understand correctly, the Russian central bank can hold it in |
| 0:55.7 | the low 90s, but not indefinitely. And that moves us to the question of capital outflow |
| 1:02.0 | controls. Good evening to you, Michael. Good evening to you. The rubble today is 94 |
| 1:08.8 | rubles for one dollar. And every day is losing the production of the rubble. The central |
| 1:14.2 | bank can control it in that range because the central bank every day provides dollar |
| 1:20.1 | liquidity to banks in the purchase agreement repo, technically called operations. And every |
| 1:26.8 | day we see the reports that they let the banks borrow $4 billion, $5 billion, $10 billion, |
| 1:34.5 | the next day to get you on it. So this way they can manipulate. They can manipulate in a |
| 1:40.1 | very small range, their rubble dollar exchange rate. But as the government reports, there |
| 1:46.2 | are lots of attacks on the rubble from various traders because people sell short, people |
| 1:52.8 | are putting up for futures contracts on the dollar. So it's very difficult for the central |
| 1:59.2 | bank. It's a risk operation. But as long as they can provide an overnight dollar liquidity |
| 2:05.5 | to banks, they can control the exchange rate. They can control it indefinitely because |
| 2:10.4 | there's said to be a big dispute between the elite in Moscow about the rubble, wholly |
... |
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