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The John Batchelor Show

RUSSIA: COLLATERAL DAMAGE. MICHAEL BERNSTAM, HOOVER.

The John Batchelor Show

John Batchelor

Society & Culture, Arts, News, Books

4.52.8K Ratings

🗓️ 10 April 2025

⏱️ 9 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

RUSSIA: COLLATERAL DAMAGE. MICHAEL BERNSTAM, HOOVER.

Transcript

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0:00.0

This is CBSI on the world. I'm John Batchel. I welcome Michael Bernstein, my colleague. He's at the Hoover Institution,

0:07.4

and has been my guide on Russian sanctions since the beginning of the Russian-Ukrainian war.

0:12.7

And the twists have been plenty, but nothing like what we're anticipating now and going forward.

0:20.0

Michael, a very good evening to you.

0:21.3

Sanctions.

0:22.4

What are sanctions compared to a worldwide tariff panic?

0:26.1

And now the price of oil has been most determinative for your explanation of what needs to

0:32.7

be done for sanctions.

0:34.4

And recently we talked, for example, about how the Saudis were increasing production in

0:39.5

early April, and that was very likely to drive the price of oil down.

0:44.0

And then we talked about penalties that could be put on a barrel of oil going to India or China,

0:49.9

the consumers of Russian oil in the shadow fleet, putting a20 bounty on them a tariff on them in some

0:57.5

fashion however now we learned that it all was for naught because the worldwide fear of a trade

1:05.0

war has led to the price of oil being cut to well at some point some point it touched 60, maybe even could go lower.

1:12.6

Now, my learning from you, Michael, this isn't just good news.

1:18.6

This is terrific news for the Ukrainian war because the Russian budget is broken.

1:23.6

Do I remember that correctly?

1:24.6

Good evening to you, Michael.

1:25.6

Good evening to you.

1:26.6

And what happens, the world is interconnected.

1:30.3

And now there are two coincidences, totally unrelated, totally unscripted.

1:35.3

One is that on April the 3rd, a few days ago, there was an online meeting of Saudi Arabia,

...

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