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On The Tape

Running on Empty with David Rosenberg of Rosenberg Research

On The Tape

RiskReversal Media

News, Business, Investing, Business News

4.6757 Ratings

🗓️ 29 July 2022

⏱️ 64 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Guy, Dan and Danny discuss the market’s reaction to this week’s Fed meeting (3:30), whether we will see a rate cut (8:04), big tech earnings (12:00), what banks are saying about the economy (14:14), Walmart’s warning (17:53), and Meta’s quarter (24:41). Later, Dan sits down with David Rosenberg of Rosenberg Research, to talk about recession indicators (33:19), why David thinks we have seen the last rate hike of the cycle (37:44), cracks in the housing market (54:04), and why the worst is not over (1:01:27). ---- See what adding futures can do for you at cmegroup.com/onthetape.  ---- Shoot us an email at [email protected] with any feedback, suggestions, or questions for us to answer on the pod and follow us @OnTheTapePod. We’re on social: Follow Dan Nathan @RiskReversal on Twitter Follow @GuyAdami on Twitter Follow Danny Moses @DMoses34 on Twitter Follow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMedia Subscribe to our YouTube page

Transcript

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0:00.0

We've made it to the end of July. Big week of earnings, big market rally into this week of earnings,

0:07.3

another Fed meeting, another 75 basis point hike, another GDP print that defies logic. For you folks

0:15.7

that don't think we're in a recession or if you somehow believe that White House statement from

0:20.5

Monday that the definition of a recession is if you somehow believe that White House statement from Monday that the

0:21.2

definition of a recession is now changed, good for you, but here we are. Market doesn't seem to care.

0:27.8

The Fed seemingly has thread a needle. I don't believe that's happened, but we're back and Danny

0:33.7

Moses is back after a week away. Danny, welcome back. Guys, great to be back.

0:38.6

Sorry I missed last week.

0:39.7

And I want to point out something that you guys, thank God, there's three people on the show.

0:43.7

And they don't all listen to me because, guy, your call down at 3650 that we may work our way to 4,100.

0:48.9

No one could hear my eye roll at the time on the screen, but frankly, there was one. And Dan's comment that you've got to start

0:54.6

buying some stuff here that's quality on dips, and both those things happen. That being said,

0:58.8

I would fade this hard. We're going to go into a why I would. I actually think that while I believe

1:03.6

that was a Fed pivot, I don't think that's a reason. I think that should scare people more that we've

1:08.2

seen peak earnings and it's going to get worse from here economically.

1:15.4

When that reality sets in, which we've had some bad August guys in the last decade,

1:17.7

I think we're going to see another one of those things coming up.

1:20.9

Yeah, I mean, listen, Guy, you've been calling this now for months and months. You just thought that, you know, when we start to see rates come in and treasure yields,

1:24.8

you know, right now the 10 year is what at 2.7 percent that was kind of a

1:28.9

support level that we've been holding for the last couple of months or so you didn't think that

1:32.7

was going to be something that investors should kind of extrapolate that's good for stocks right

1:37.9

because what it's emblematic of is the fact that the economy is weakening faster than the Fed is willing to acknowledge, I guess,

...

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