This is You Better You Bet with Nick Costos, Femi Abeefay, and the crew on the BetmGM Network.

Make it legendary.

All right, 20 minutes from now, it's all our bets for tonight in the world of sports, including the Falcons and the Buck on Thursday night football.

We're joining us right now. Best bets, Week 15 in the NFL, Pro Sportsbetter, our good pal, Rob Bozola of Bet Stamp, The Hammer. Forward Progress is the name of the NFL betting show. You can find it on YouTube. Just search Forward Progress. You can also find it wherever you find your podcast. Just search Forward Progress. And on Twitter at Rob Bozola, my friend, welcome back to the show. Happy Week 15. Thank you very much, Nick. Good to be back. Let's, uh, so Rob always sends me games he likes. Uh, we are actually going to start with a different game this week. I need to get your opinion on the Phillip Rivers Bowl in Seattle. And I asked Jay Crouch for the same question, and I like talking to people I really respect who have the great betting actor that you do, right? How the hell do you even try and price a game like this? If indeed it looks like Philip Rivers is going to start, isn't played since January 2021. Currently, the Colts are 13 and a half point dogs look like this is going to 14 on the road in Seattle.

How do you try and price this game?

Do you want to try and bet it?

So it's actually very challenging.

And the real answer is that it's like a series of educated guesses, right?

Because when you're pricing players, you typically have like some sort of age regression curve,

but you don't have it for player. You have like Tom Brady, basically, and no other sample of guys

that are ever really get to this age playing quarterback. So I would say that the market price on this game,

like there's no exact science. It's just going to be people competing based off of their opinions

on what they think Rivers is.

For me, it's not just what Rivers is, but it's also the defense that he's going up against in the Seattle Seahawks, which is like, you know, choose your poison 1A, 1B, but it's Texan Seahawks in the league right now. there's no real significant weakness here.

And on top of that, the Colts have other injuries that people aren't talking about,

especially in their secondary, which are various ward being out. real significant weakness here. And on top of that, the Colts have other injuries that people

aren't talking about, especially in their secondary, which are various ward being out,

Soss Gardner being out. So there's a very exploitable matchup that Seattle has on offense.

For me, Nick, honestly, I'm just applying what I think is common sense here, where you have a quarterback rolling in off this, quote unquote, the street.

It's 246 pounds.

You know, I remember Rivers at the end of his career.

And I was like, you know, it's time.

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