Recency Bias: How Recent Events Skew Investment Decisions
InvestTalk
Hosts Justin Klein & Luke Guerrero, CFA | Wealth Managers and Investment Advisors
4.4 • 1.5K Ratings
🗓️ 22 March 2025
⏱️ 48 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
“Recency bias”, is a cognitive error that occurs when investors overemphasize RECENT information, and it can lead to irrational decisions– like panic selling during market downturns or chasing asset bubbles.
Today's Stocks & Topics: MOS - Mosaic Co. (NYS), SPY - SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (ETF), SPLG - SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF (ETF), questions from our YouTube channel viewers: NKE - Nike Inc. Cl B (NYS), RL - Ralph Lauren Corp. Cl A (NYS), KSPI - Kaspi.kz JSC ADR (NAS); plus Luke's market wrap, plus Luke's Market Madness update, and Luke's talking points: Car biz is difficult-- focus on Tesla, Hedge funds caught off guard.
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | On radio, on YouTube, streaming live on invest talk.com, and for our podcast subscribers, this is InvestTalk. Incependent Thinking, shared success. |
| 0:17.8 | InvestTalk is made possible by KPP Financial, a registered investment advisor firm, serving clients throughout the United States. |
| 0:27.1 | Here is KPP Financial portfolio manager, Luke Guerrero. |
| 0:34.0 | Good afternoon, fellow investors, and welcome back to Invest talk. My name is Luke Guerrero. It is Friday, March 21st, 2025. |
| 0:44.9 | Now, it's been a while since I've been here with you. I got back from some time off and certainly the past couple weeks have been, well, different. |
| 0:54.0 | Different in the well, different. |
| 0:54.4 | Different in the markets, different in terms of news. |
| 0:56.8 | Today might be a different show because you can hear this band outside of my apartment |
| 1:00.5 | incessantly playing at 4 p.m. on a Friday, but nonetheless, through these changes, through |
| 1:06.3 | these differences, we persevere. |
| 1:09.4 | Because it's important to never lose focus on why we come to InvestTalk and why we care about |
| 1:15.6 | becoming better, more informed investors. |
| 1:18.6 | And the reason why we care is because through those things that we hope we are a small part of, |
| 1:24.6 | small part of, we hope that we can help you achieve your financial freedom. |
| 1:31.6 | And so as the year continues to bring fresh challenges, as the market continues to be very different |
| 1:37.0 | from the market of the past two years, you must remain focused. And so for our small part, we do bring educational items to the table. We |
| 1:46.9 | bring action items to the table as well. But most importantly, you steer the conversation |
| 1:53.6 | through your finance and investment questions. And so with that in mind, before we run down |
| 1:58.3 | those show topics that we brought to the table today, before we talk about the market performance today and this week, let's tackle our first caller question now. |
| 2:06.6 | Hi, my name is Adam. I'm calling from El Dorado Hills, California. |
| 2:10.6 | I had a question regarding Mosaic, ticker MOS. |
| 2:14.6 | Seems like it's setting for a nice big run. It's been consolidating for a few years |
... |
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