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InvestTalk

Recency Bias: How Recent Events Skew Investment Decisions

InvestTalk

Hosts Justin Klein & Luke Guerrero, CFA | Wealth Managers and Investment Advisors

Business, Business News, News Commentary, Investing, Entrepreneurship, News

4.31.5K Ratings

🗓️ 22 March 2025

⏱️ 48 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

“Recency bias”, is a cognitive error that occurs when investors overemphasize RECENT information, and it can lead to irrational decisions– like panic selling during market downturns or chasing asset bubbles.


Today's Stocks & Topics: MOS - Mosaic Co. (NYS), SPY - SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (ETF), SPLG - SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF (ETF), questions from our YouTube channel viewers: NKE - Nike Inc. Cl B (NYS), RL - Ralph Lauren Corp. Cl A (NYS), KSPI - Kaspi.kz JSC ADR (NAS); plus Luke's market wrap, plus Luke's Market Madness update, and Luke's talking points: Car biz is difficult-- focus on Tesla, Hedge funds caught off guard.



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Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

On radio, on YouTube, streaming live on invest talk.com, and for our podcast subscribers, this is InvestTalk. Incependent Thinking, shared success.

0:17.8

InvestTalk is made possible by KPP Financial, a registered investment advisor firm, serving clients throughout the United States.

0:27.1

Here is KPP Financial portfolio manager, Luke Guerrero.

0:34.0

Good afternoon, fellow investors, and welcome back to Invest talk. My name is Luke Guerrero. It is Friday, March 21st, 2025.

0:44.9

Now, it's been a while since I've been here with you. I got back from some time off and certainly the past couple weeks have been, well, different.

0:54.0

Different in the well, different.

0:54.4

Different in the markets, different in terms of news.

0:56.8

Today might be a different show because you can hear this band outside of my apartment

1:00.5

incessantly playing at 4 p.m. on a Friday, but nonetheless, through these changes, through

1:06.3

these differences, we persevere.

1:09.4

Because it's important to never lose focus on why we come to InvestTalk and why we care about

1:15.6

becoming better, more informed investors.

1:18.6

And the reason why we care is because through those things that we hope we are a small part of,

1:24.6

small part of, we hope that we can help you achieve your financial freedom.

1:31.6

And so as the year continues to bring fresh challenges, as the market continues to be very different

1:37.0

from the market of the past two years, you must remain focused. And so for our small part, we do bring educational items to the table. We

1:46.9

bring action items to the table as well. But most importantly, you steer the conversation

1:53.6

through your finance and investment questions. And so with that in mind, before we run down

1:58.3

those show topics that we brought to the table today, before we talk about the market performance today and this week, let's tackle our first caller question now.

2:06.6

Hi, my name is Adam. I'm calling from El Dorado Hills, California.

2:10.6

I had a question regarding Mosaic, ticker MOS.

2:14.6

Seems like it's setting for a nice big run. It's been consolidating for a few years

...

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