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The World Next Week

Rebels Gain As Myanmar Marks Coup Anniversary, EU's Ukraine Aid Challenge, Kenya’s Pending Mission to Haiti, and More

The World Next Week

Council on Foreign Relations

Politics, News, News:politics

4.6845 Ratings

🗓️ 25 January 2024

⏱️ 25 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The Three Brotherhood Alliance and other armed ethnic groups in Myanmar pose a significant threat to regime control as the country enters its third year under junta rule; the European Union (EU) meets for a special summit on military aid for Ukraine, but concerns remain over Hungary’s Prime Minister Viktor Orbán; Kenya’s high court will decide whether if it is constitutional for Kenya to lead a multinational peacekeeping mission to Haiti; and hundreds of thousands across Germany protest against the Alternative for Germany’s anti-immigration policies.   Mentioned on the Podcast   Bruce Hoffman and Jacob Ware, God, Guns, and Sedition: Far-Right Terrorism in America   Ebenezer Obadare and Robert I. Rotberg, “1100 Kenyans Will Not Save Haiti,” CFR.org   Avinash Paliwal, “Could Myanmar Come Apart?,” Foreign Affairs For an episode transcript and show notes, visit The World Next Week at: https://www.cfr.org/podcasts/rebels-gain-myanmar-marks-coup-anniversary-eus-ukraine-aid-challenge-kenyas-pending

Transcript

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0:00.0

In the coming week, Myanmar marks three years under military junta rule.

0:05.0

Ukraine seeks greater continued EU support, and Kenya's High Court decides on whether a peacekeeping force can be sent to Haiti.

0:12.0

It's January 25th, 2024 in time for the world next week. I'm Bob McMahon.

0:28.3

And I'm Carly Ann Robbins.

0:30.4

So, Bob, let's start with Myanmar.

0:32.7

Next Thursday, marks three years since the military junta seized complete power.

0:37.4

It wasn't like they were not pulling the strings from behind the scenes.

0:41.3

This is a hugely repressive, even genocidal regime.

0:45.3

However, its control may be weakening.

0:47.3

Since last October, something called the Three Brotherhood Alliance,

0:50.3

which is a coalition of three armed ethnic groups has been attacking military bases,

0:54.4

and they're gaining real territory. Is the Hunta's days numbered?

0:58.9

Well, it would have been really far-fetched to even ask that question not too long ago, Carla,

1:04.1

but it is looking really bad for the junta for all sorts of reasons. The first thing it should be

1:09.6

said whenever you get into the thicket of

1:12.2

Myanmar is it is incredibly complicated, it is incredibly ethnically diverse country. It always

1:16.8

astounds me when I start poking around in Myanmar, just how diverse country it is. But the military

1:22.4

has been this, you know, for one of a better term, a glue for the country, or at least a force of some stability

1:29.7

over the decades, despite the cost of that, which has been, as you said, this repressive rule,

1:34.9

not just recently, but over many years and many cycles, they are particularly pernicious

1:39.2

regime and recently, you know, have lived up to that with reports of torturing opposition opponents

1:45.5

and demonstrators, even using snipers to pick off people demonstrating against them.

...

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