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Rationally Speaking Podcast

Rationally Speaking #205 - Michael Webb on "Are ideas getting harder to find?"

Rationally Speaking Podcast

New York City Skeptics

Society & Culture, Skepticism, Science, Philosophy

4.6787 Ratings

🗓️ 2 April 2018

⏱️ 49 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

This episode features economist Michael Webb, who recently co-authored a paper titled "Are ideas getting harder to find?" It demonstrates that the number of researchers it takes to produce a technological innovation has gone up dramatically over time. Michael and Julia discuss various possible explanations for why this is happening, along with several challenges to his paper.

Transcript

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0:00.0

This episode of Rationally Speaking is brought to you by Stripe.

0:03.4

Stripe builds economic infrastructure for the Internet.

0:06.8

Their tools help online businesses with everything from incorporation and getting started

0:11.0

to handling marketplace payments, to preventing fraud.

0:15.5

Stripe's culture puts a special emphasis on rigorous thinking and intellectual curiosity.

0:20.8

So if you enjoy podcasts like this one, and you're interested in what Stripe does, I'd recommend you check them out.

0:26.6

They're always hiring.

0:28.1

Learn more at Stripe.com. Welcome to Rationally Speaking, the podcast where we explore the borderlands between reason and nonsense.

0:49.9

I'm your host, Julia Galef, and I'm here with today's guest, Michael Webb.

0:54.2

Michael is doing his PhD in economics at Stanford University, and he's the co-author of an exciting recent paper called Our Ideas Getting Harder to Find.

1:04.7

And that is the question we're going to be talking about today. Michael, welcome to the show.

1:08.3

Thanks for having me.

1:09.4

So your paper is actually kind of a

1:11.8

funny exception to the general rule. I think it's called the headline in the form of a question

1:17.1

rule, and the rule goes if some article, you know, using the popular media, has a headline

1:22.6

in the form of a question, the answer to the question is almost invariably no. Right. Like,

1:27.0

you know, are our children getting dumber?

1:29.1

Or, like, could coffee be the cure for cancer?

1:31.6

And the answer is always like, no, actually no.

1:33.6

But the answer to your articles, you know, spoilers, is actually kind of looks like yes.

1:38.2

Yes.

1:38.8

Yeah, the answer to our question is a very strong, strong yes.

...

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