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Rationally Speaking Podcast

Rationally Speaking #147 - Andrew Gelman on "Why do Americans vote the way they do?"

Rationally Speaking Podcast

New York City Skeptics

Society & Culture, Skepticism, Science, Philosophy

4.6787 Ratings

🗓️ 15 November 2015

⏱️ 53 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

There are two contradictory stories about politics and class: On the one hand, that the Republicans are the party of the fat cat businessmen and the Democrats are the party of the people. And on the other hand, that the Republicans are the party of the salt-of-the-earth Joe Sixpacks, while the Democrats are latte-sipping elites. In this episode, professor of statistics and political science Andrew Gelman shines some clarifying light on the intersection between politics and class in America, explaining what the numbers really show. He and Julia also cover the question, "Is it rational to vote?"

Transcript

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0:00.0

Rationally speaking is a presentation of New York City skeptics dedicated to promoting critical thinking, skeptical inquiry, and science education.

0:22.5

For more information, please visit us at NYCCEceptics.org.

0:31.0

Welcome to Rationally Speaking, the podcast where we explore the borderlands between reason and nonsense.

0:41.5

I'm your host, Julia Galef, and with me is today's guest, Andrew Gellman.

0:46.1

He's a professor of statistics and political science at Columbia University, and he's also the director of their Applied Statistics Center.

0:54.2

He's published numerous textbooks about statistics as well as a popular book

0:58.4

titled Red State, Blue State, Rich State, Poor State, Why Americans Vote the Way They Do.

1:03.9

And he also runs an excellent blog, which is one of the few blogs that I read on a regular basis,

1:09.4

and it has the very catchy title, Statistical

1:12.1

Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science. Oh, and then most importantly, I want to let

1:19.7

our listeners know that Andy was my professor in college when I was an undergraduate, which,

1:25.9

Andy, why isn't that in your bio? I half expected that to be

1:28.6

right up there, you know, above your list of awards. I'll have to fit it in there for the next

1:36.2

person. Well, welcome to the show. And Andy, what I'm particularly excited to talk about today

1:42.2

is one of the big focus areas of your research,

1:46.1

which is analyzing Americans' voting patterns, and specifically how those voting patterns intersect

1:52.1

with socioeconomic factors.

1:54.9

So there are these two competing narratives that I'm sure our listeners will be familiar with if they, you know,

2:02.2

watch or consume any media about politics. And one of them is that the Republican Party is the,

2:09.8

they're the fat cat elite, rich people, whereas the Democrats are the party of the people.

2:17.0

They're the populists. And then, on the other

2:19.6

hand, we have this narrative where the Republicans are the salt of the earth working every man,

...

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