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The Meb Faber Show - Better Investing

Ralph Acampora - Don't Ever Fight Papa Dow | #140

The Meb Faber Show - Better Investing

The Idea Farm

Investing, Management, Business

4.8978 Ratings

🗓️ 30 January 2019

⏱️ 55 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

In episode 140 we welcome Ralph Acampora. Ralph begins with his background and talks about the accident that left him in a body cast for months. His father’s best friend left a copy of something market related that he was reading when he visited the hospital. That piqued his curiosity, and he later found a job as a junior analyst on Wall Street. It was that job that introduced him to technical analysis. Meb then gets into technical analysis and what is, and what it means to Ralph. Ralph discusses how he keeps it simple, looking at trends every day with a few indicators. He then goes on to explain Dow Theory before explaining that when he took a look at the market through the lens of Dow Theory, when the Dow Industrials, and Dow Transports hit low points late last year, he saw a downturn signal. He mentions the post-Christmas rally was a nice move in a short period of time, but he refers to it as a “vacuum” rally. The bad news is that he saw the rally encounter overhead resistance and is looking overbought. For this move to sustain, he’d like to see, over the next month or two, the market hold above December lows. Looking around the world, he sees the DAX in a topping period, and emerging market stocks look like they’re trying to bottom. As far as commodities go, he thinks crude is bottoming as well. Ralph then gets into how little acceptance there was of technical analysis early in his career, and how he fought for technical analysis. Meb then asks Ralph to touch on behavioral finance. He discusses how technical analysts have been incorporating behavioral finance for years. As the conversation winds down, Meb asks Ralph if anything has changed about his approach to analyzing markets, and Ralph quickly says “No,” and talks about how over time, technical analysis is looking at buyers and sellers, which he feels haven’t changed, so he hasn’t changed his analysis. This and more in episode 140, including a fantastic story behind Ralph’s most memorable trade, and where one of his hand-drawn charts is now displayed. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to the Mebb Fabor Show, where the focus is on helping you grow and preserve your wealth.

0:12.7

Join us as we discuss the craft of investing

0:15.6

and uncover new and profitable ideas,

0:18.4

all to help you grow wealthier and wiser.

0:20.8

Better investing starts here.

0:23.0

Mepp Faber is the co-founder and chief investment officer at Cambria Investment Management.

0:31.0

Due to industry regulations, he will not discuss any of Cambria's funds on this

0:35.5

podcast.

0:36.8

All opinions expressed by podcast participants are solely their own opinions and do not

0:41.0

reflect the opinion of Cambria Investment Management or its

0:43.6

affiliates. For more information visit cambria Investments.com.

0:49.4

Welcome, podcast listeners. We have a great show for you today. Our guest has over 40 years of experience on Wall Street

0:56.8

includes many famous institutional investment advisories with some of the top global asset management firms you've heard of, Smith Barney, Kidder Peabody, Prudential,

1:06.5

it's pioneer in the development of market analytics and help start market technicians

1:10.5

association as well as the International Federation of Technical Analysts.

1:14.7

Welcome to the show Ralph Acampora.

1:16.5

Thank you, Meb. Thanks, I've invited me.

1:18.8

Super excited to have you on today, by the way, listeners, is Tuesday, January January 22nd when we're recording this and

1:24.9

there's been a lot of excitement once again in markets after 2017 pretty mellow for a lot of people.

1:34.0

But let's rewind a little bit, Ralph.

1:36.0

I'm sure most of my audience knows who you are,

1:38.0

but take me back a little bit.

...

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