Q2 Delivery & Production Report (07.02.20)
Tesla Daily: Tesla News & Analysis
Rob Maurer
4.8 • 1.1K Ratings
🗓️ 2 July 2020
⏱️ 12 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
➤ Tesla reports second quarter deliveries of 90,650 vehicles, and production of 82,272 vehicles, well ahead of consensus expectations
➤ Deliveries above 90,000 may indicate a profitable quarter for Tesla which would result in eligibility for S&P 500 inclusion
➤ Tesla is likely on track to achieve guidance in 2020 despite a challenging macro environment
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Disclosure: Rob Maurer is long TSLA stock & derivatives
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Hey everybody Rob Maower here and today we're of course talking about |
| 0:05.9 | Tesla's Q2 delivery and production report which Tesla released before market |
| 0:09.9 | open today and the market's reaction so far has been quite positive with Tesla stock up |
| 0:14.6 | about 8% or $90 per share just after market open as I am recording. |
| 0:18.9 | Humorously enough the lowest price target on Tesla stock on Wall Street is $87 per share so in the matter of a few |
| 0:24.9 | hours Tesla has added the entire value of that lowest price target. |
| 0:29.2 | So let's look at the numbers here for those of you that I haven't seen it yet. |
| 0:31.5 | Tesla delivered 90,650 vehicles in Q2. |
| 0:36.0 | That was well above FACTS that consensus estimates of 72,000 vehicles, |
| 0:40.5 | as well as above reports of whisper numbers |
| 0:42.4 | in the 80,000 range. |
| 0:44.0 | For production, Tesla reported 82,272 vehicles produced in Q2. |
| 0:49.0 | All right, so let's get into these numbers a little bit, |
| 0:51.0 | as we talked about earlier this week my forecast for |
| 0:54.0 | production and for deliveries was about 94,000 and 96,000 respectively but even though |
| 0:59.6 | the numbers did come in a fair amount below my most recent estimates. These are still very strong numbers from Tesla. |
| 1:06.0 | The 90.6,000 delivery number is up about 2.5% quarter over quarter from Q1, and it's only down |
| 1:12.2 | about 5% from Q2 of 2019 year over year despite the obvious challenges with a global pandemic. |
| 1:19.0 | In fact if we look at the total first half of 2020 so Q1 and Q2 combined, Tesla has delivered about 179,000 vehicles, |
| 1:27.0 | up 13% from 2019. |
| 1:30.4 | Tesla's production in the first half of the year is up very similarly, up 13% from last year to 185,000 vehicles produced. |
| 1:38.0 | These increases have happened despite the fact that Tesla's Fremont factory was closed for about seven weeks during the first half of the year or more than 25% of that time. |
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