Professor Who Predicted a Trump Win in 2016 Now Predicts a Biden Win in 2020
Valuetainment
Valuetainment Episodes
4.8 • 1.7K Ratings
🗓️ 4 September 2020
⏱️ 59 minutes
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Summary
Patrick Bet-David sits down with Allan Lichtman who has correctly predicted each presidential election since 1984 to talk about the 2020 election. In this clip they talk why he is predicting that Trump will lose in 2020. Connect with him on twitter: https://twitter.com/AllanLichtman
Order his book "The Keys to the White House" :https://amzn.to/3jHmsLB
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Suggested video: Who is Roger Stone - Dirty Trickster or Marketing Genius? - https://youtu.be/ckqkvERsKTQ
About the guest: Allan Jay Lichtman is an American historian who has taught at American University in Washington, D.C. since 1973. Lichtman created the The Keys to the White House model, which he created with Russian seismologist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981. The model uses 13 True/False criteria to predict whether the candidate of an incumbant party will win or not.
About Patrick Bet-David: CEO, author and Founder of Valuetainment Media. Patrick has interviewed athletes, notorious individuals, politicians, authors and entrepreneurs from all walks of life.
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| 0:00.0 | The hardest thing about being a forecaster. It's not knowing history or they got no history. |
| 0:04.8 | It's not knowing politics or you got no politics. It's not knowing math or they got no math. |
| 0:09.2 | It's putting aside your own political preferences. |
| 0:14.0 | You're obviously a Democrat. |
| 0:15.8 | You said Trump would win in 2016 when people thought you were crazy for choosing Trump. |
| 0:20.2 | That was extremely unpopular. |
| 0:21.8 | I did get a note and it said |
| 0:23.7 | Professor Congrats good call Donald J Trump you want to see it you got it let me see it |
| 0:29.5 | There it is so let's talk about the. It's what we call a very robust model that's lasted through enormous change. The Civil War, the Great Depression, World War II. We just looked at patterns. It's brilliant when you think about it. |
| 0:43.6 | Judgments here have to be objective and nonpartisan. All I need to do is say true or false. |
| 0:49.0 | So if it's false, that's one key against them. The party mandate, which side do you choose without? |
| 0:54.0 | No primary contest. |
| 0:55.0 | Incumbency, third party, |
| 0:57.0 | short-term economy, long-term economy. |
| 0:59.0 | Seven is policy change. |
| 1:01.0 | Social unrest. |
| 1:02.0 | Scandal, number nine, foreign military failures, |
| 1:05.4 | challengers' charisma, which is Biden, incumbent charisma. |
| 1:08.9 | That one I count as false. |
| 1:11.4 | You gotta have charisma for advertisers to say my... |
| 1:14.7 | And what's your track record of predicting elections? |
| 1:17.0 | Come on! |
... |
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