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The John Batchelor Show

PREVIEW: #UKRANE; Excerpt from a longer conversation with colleague Jeff McCausland of CBS News re what Ukraine needs now to prepare for a likely Russian offensive launch in May or June. More of this and NATO risk later today.

The John Batchelor Show

John Batchelor

Society & Culture, Arts, News, Books

4.52.8K Ratings

🗓️ 1 March 2024

⏱️ 2 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

PREVIEW: #UKRANE; Excerpt from a longer conversation with colleague Jeff McCausland of CBS News re what Ukraine needs now to prepare for a likely Russian offensive launch in May or June. More of this and NATO risk later today.

1943 Sicily

Transcript

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0:00.0

This is John Bachelor speaking with Colonel Jeff McCausen, CBS News, about the challenges for the Ukrainian forces without adequate ammunition or resupply falling back from Avdivka.

0:12.0

The Colonel identifies May-June area of 24 as a likely Russian

0:17.5

jump-off for a continued offensive. And what is needed, what must be done, is to provide long-range strike weapons. The

0:26.8

attack comes are mentioned, the F-16s are mentioned, to fend off the Russian

0:31.0

overwhelming force which will need to be 3 to 5 to 1. May to June of 24.

0:37.0

Ukrainians need to be ready and they need to have enough ammunition to stay the fight.

0:44.0

Jeff McCausen.

0:46.0

I think they're very important because of their ability to strike Russian logistical lines and slow the movement of forces,

0:52.0

material westward.

0:54.6

If the Russians are going to go on the offensive,

0:56.4

which I think is likely in the May-June time frame,

0:59.2

they're going to have to realize that they need to mass

1:02.4

then force ratios at least 3 to 1 more like 5 or 6 to 1

1:07.0

to achieve breakthroughs hopefully the Ukrainians haven't stiffened their defenses

1:11.0

over the next several months.

1:12.8

To do that requires mass.

1:14.4

Mass requires more material, more manpower, more logistics.

1:18.0

And also we know one of the lessons from the war in Ukraine so far

1:21.7

is this is an enormously transparent battlefield, tactically

1:25.4

operationally and strategic. So if I can ascertain the movement forward of that

1:30.4

material and have weapons like the F-16, ATACums, and I think the German

1:35.0

Taurus, for example, that can engage those targets at greater and greater distances, then

...

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