PREVIEW-#UKRAINE: #ROMANIA-#DANUBE: Conversation with Antonia Colibasnu of Geopolitical Futures re the vast 1771 mile-long Danube River and the war in Ukraine --and in this exchange, Antonia explains the evolution of the thinking and plannng about the Da
The John Batchelor Show
John Batchelor
4.5 • 2.8K Ratings
🗓️ 5 April 2024
⏱️ 3 minutes
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Summary
1904 Danube at Romania
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| 0:00.0 | This is John Bachelor. The Danube River, speaking to colleague Antonio Kalabashano and Bucharest, |
| 0:08.0 | one of the great states of Europe of the Danube River,71 miles from the Black Sea to Germany, the Black Forest of |
| 0:17.4 | Germany. At the same time it connects to the Rhine, the Mein, and to Rotterdam. That means you can go from the Black |
| 0:28.8 | Sea to Rotterdam, from the Black Sea to the North Sea, internally in Europe, critical to understand why this |
| 0:36.8 | is now an issue for the Ukraine war. |
| 0:40.7 | Ukraine can use the Danube when open, navigable, without ice, to get its grain to market, |
| 0:49.5 | without risking the Black Sea where the Russian fleet is various. |
| 0:54.6 | Momentarily, there might be a standoff in the Black Sea. |
| 0:58.6 | But going forward, imagining the rest of the century, |
| 1:01.9 | the Danube needs development and everything else. |
| 1:05.3 | It begins, however, in 1936 with the Montreal Convention. |
| 1:09.6 | And here is Antonio Kalabashanu of Geopolitical Futures to explain the Montreal Convention what it means |
| 1:16.6 | then 1936 before the Second War, what it meant afterwards that the Soviets elbowed their way into the Montreal Convention, |
| 1:26.4 | and what it means now with the Russians asked to leave the room. |
| 1:31.7 | They're no longer part of the Danube Commission that took the place of the Montreal Convention. |
| 1:36.0 | Here's Antonio Kullabashana to explain the critical nature of the Danube River from the Black Sea to the North Sea. |
| 1:47.0 | When the Montreal Convention was designed, it was also the moment when the Danube and actually the Danube Commission was installed |
| 1:59.3 | because the Danube River gained geopolitical importance if you will. Without the Danube you would not |
| 2:08.1 | have accessed into the Black Sea in the case of an armed conflict. |
| 2:14.8 | So the Danube was pretty much the only way |
| 2:18.0 | for other players that were not necessarily |
| 2:20.8 | aligned with Turkey to get to the Black Sea, which made it very important at the time |
... |
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