PREVIEW: #PRC: #RECESSION: Conversation with colleague Chris Riegel at Scala.com regarding the official China export-import numbers for July and the facts of the two-year-long recession. More later.
The John Batchelor Show
John Batchelor
4.5 • 2.8K Ratings
🗓️ 8 August 2024
⏱️ 2 minutes
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1950 Taiwan
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| 0:00.0 | This is John Bachelor, conversation with my colleague Chris Regal, the CEO of scholar.com, |
| 0:07.0 | business on all the major continents. |
| 0:10.0 | That the Chinese numbers, the official numbers export import not reliable certainly not from |
| 0:17.6 | any number from the government we're looking at a China's declining manufacturing base, declining consumer base, |
| 0:26.6 | declining, well, crashing housing base. |
| 0:30.6 | And Chris looks very carefully and says the recession is two-plus years underway in China, |
| 0:37.0 | perhaps globally as well, but certainly China. |
| 0:41.0 | And no remedy inside. Here's Chris Regal on the official numbers and pay no mind. |
| 0:48.0 | More of this tonight. |
| 0:50.0 | So, John, I would say very precisely to pay no attention to the numbers reported by the Chinese government itself. |
| 0:59.0 | In most cases that's a form of projection or disinformation. |
| 1:03.0 | If you watch the shippers based on the actual number of embarks, |
| 1:08.0 | debarks, the number of containerized units moving, |
| 1:12.0 | you see that year over year that continues to fall from China. |
| 1:15.4 | So from the government's propaganda at the shipper side they may try to |
| 1:20.0 | project strength to stay in favor of the Chinese government, make sure that |
| 1:24.8 | their ships are still able to port, but it's very clear across multiple |
| 1:28.8 | economic indicators that not only his manufacturing slowed but you see energy consumption in China slowing |
| 1:35.4 | while materials importing into China slowing so it's just part and parcel with the larger global |
| 1:40.9 | recession that's been underway now for two plus years. |
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