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The John Batchelor Show

PREVIEW: PRC: PROPERTY CRATER - Colleague Anne Stevenson-Yang explains why the CCP has not found a way forward from the debt-laden municipalities. More tonight.

The John Batchelor Show

John Batchelor

Society & Culture, Arts, News, Books

4.52.8K Ratings

🗓️ 27 November 2024

⏱️ 2 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

PREVIEW: PRC: PROPERTY CRATER - Colleague Anne Stevenson-Yang explains why the CCP has not found a way forward from the debt-laden municipalities. More tonight.

1912 Imperial University football team

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

This is John Batchel, Conversation with Colleague Anne Stevenson Yang, author of Wild Ride,

0:06.9

the short history of the opening and closing of the Chinese state market,

0:12.9

and points to why the Central Committee of the Chinese Communist Party cannot fix what's wrong,

0:20.0

the crater of overbuilt housing for generations.

0:25.0

And the municipalities had borrowed against the prospects

0:28.0

that somebody would come and live in their overbuilt housing.

0:31.8

Nobody showed up.

0:33.0

The housing is overgrown with weeds and crumbling.

0:36.7

And the debt remains. What is to be done?

0:39.7

Anne answers it. It's inadequate. It won't work. China can't get out of the fix

0:44.7

it's in if it continues with the Chinese Communist Party. More of this later tonight.

0:52.8

It didn't work in 2024.

0:54.9

The proposal now is to do another of these sort of debt swaps so that the central government takes on a piece of the local government debt and thereby and issues bonds at lower rates so that local governments can lower the amount of interest they're

1:12.1

paying. This is a really like small and technical fix. I think over time it comes out to like

1:18.7

0.1% of GDP. It's just you know it's just kind of a shrug of the shoulders and doesn't

1:25.4

address the big problem, which is that local

1:28.6

governments, which have to pay for schools and hospitals and roads and all of that, are just

1:33.5

playing out of money.

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