PREVIEW: PRC: BANKS: DEBTS: Colleague Andrew Collier of Orient Capital Research commenting on the unusual lending and borrowing practices in the PRC during a severe and long-term downturn. More tonight.
The John Batchelor Show
John Batchelor
4.5 • 2.8K Ratings
🗓️ 11 September 2024
⏱️ 2 minutes
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Summary
1877 Hong Kong and Shanghai Bank near Singapore River
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | This is John Bachelor, conversation with a colleague Andrew Collier, |
| 0:04.0 | orient capital research about Chinese banks being told by the |
| 0:09.0 | central government the Chinese Communist Party |
| 0:12.0 | not to buy Chinese government debt, instead to buy the debt of |
| 0:17.8 | consumers, mortgages, home loans, loans for consumers or startups. The challenge of course is that no one's |
| 0:25.8 | borrowing. China's economy is in tatters. I ask Andrew can they force the consumer to borrow? Can they force the banks to loan |
| 0:35.6 | to consumer? Here's his answer with the twist about corporate borrowing and |
| 0:41.6 | corporate debt. |
| 0:43.9 | China's bond market is troubled because the central government is the Chinese Communist |
| 0:49.4 | Party. |
| 0:50.4 | Here's Andrew. |
| 0:52.0 | No, no, they can't order people to do that and particularly since mortgages now are a death |
| 0:58.4 | now because you know what are you buying? You're buying something that's probably going to go down in price. |
| 1:03.3 | They can't make people do that. |
| 1:04.8 | And of course, in a place like America, you could have credit cards that suddenly offer free coffee makers or points on an airline, that kind of thing. |
| 1:15.0 | But they don't have that kind of system and the credit card industry is not very well |
| 1:20.0 | advanced. |
| 1:21.0 | They tend to do everything through online transactions. |
| 1:23.2 | So there's not a lot that they can do on the consumer side. |
| 1:25.6 | It's the corporate side, as Gordon has indicated, where you could force them to lend. |
| 1:30.5 | But there, the banks are balking. |
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