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The John Batchelor Show

PREVIEW: ISRAEL: IRAN: HEZBOLLAH: Conversation with colleague Jonathan Schanzer, FDD, regarding the fact that not only the Gulf but the globe is on a knife's edge about the Iranian threat to Israel. More tonigh

The John Batchelor Show

John Batchelor

Society & Culture, Arts, News, Books

4.52.8K Ratings

🗓️ 7 August 2024

⏱️ 3 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

PREVIEW: ISRAEL: IRAN: HEZBOLLAH: Conversation with colleague Jonathan Schanzer, FDD, regarding the fact that not only the Gulf but the globe is on a knife's edge about the Iranian threat to Israel. More tonight.

1925 Persian police.

Transcript

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0:00.0

This is John Batcher, a conversation with my colleague Jonathan Shenzer of the Foundation for the Defense of Democracy,

0:06.2

the Vice President, about the Iranian threat and what comes next.

0:11.3

The bomb is possible, a race for the bomb is possible, also testing Israel

0:16.1

making it weight. Is it going to be Hezbollah? Is it going to be all of the above?

0:21.7

Huthi's Hezbollah, Kaitib Hezbollah in Iraq, what's left of Hamas, Iran too.

0:29.0

Shoygu in Tehran certainly gives pause to the thinking that Iran is stoking up its air

0:34.9

defenses before it moves. However, Jonathan says it perfectly in one

0:39.2

straightforward image. The Middle East, the world is on a knife's edge. More of this tonight.

0:47.0

No, I think the big question, quite frankly, is whether Iran has decided to either A, make a dash for a bomb.

0:55.9

That seems unlikely right now, but one never knows.

1:00.6

I think there seems to be blind spots within our intelligence community and I don't know what the Israelis are seeing.

1:06.5

They've not said much on this.

1:08.5

That's one contingency. The other one is that Iran and Hezbollah decide to wage a multi-front war.

1:15.7

Perhaps they enlist the help of the Houthis and Shiite militias in Iraq and Syria.

1:21.2

Israel takes incoming from 360 degrees and, you know, Hezbollah is the tip of the spear.

1:29.1

That is the other contingency that we're looking at.

1:31.6

Now, what we could see come out of this next round could be far less than all of that. But I think we just need to be aware of the fact that, well, yes, there is a chance that, you know, Iran decides to strike one or two or three targets, and they call it quits after that because they don't want to sustain significant damage.

1:49.4

There is a chance that Iran believes that this is the moment to wage a larger war against Israel, a war of attrition,

1:58.0

with much higher intensity, and that would be a scenario for a rather devastating war.

2:04.4

We don't know what the Iranians are thinking right now and you know this pregnant pause that we are in

2:10.3

that we have been in for really the last week.

2:13.0

I think there is a certain amount of psychological warfare going on here.

...

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