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The John Batchelor Show

PREVIEW: #HEZBOLLAH: #BEIRUT: Conversation with colleague Jonathan Schanzer, FDD, re the looming "War of the North" - a much larger and more regionally destabilizing conflict than any in decades. More tonight.

The John Batchelor Show

John Batchelor

Society & Culture, Arts, News, Books

4.52.8K Ratings

🗓️ 18 June 2024

⏱️ 3 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

PREVIEW: #HEZBOLLAH: #BEIRUT: Conversation with colleague Jonathan Schanzer, FDD, re the looming "War of the North" - a much larger and more regionally destabilizing conflict than any in decades. More tonight.

undated Hotel Beirut

Transcript

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0:00.0

This is John Batchelor, conversation with Jonathan Schanser of the Foundation for the Defense of Democracy,

0:06.0

about Beirut and an embassy sent by the United States to negotiate in some fashion a de-escalation of the months of rocket and anti-tank and

0:19.5

drone fire from Hezbollah against the people of Israel. What is to be done? Looking for a diplomatic

0:25.5

solution, Jonathan is not promising about that. Belives is one needed, but what we have here is a contest that is a

0:36.8

much much larger war than anything we've seen in many decades in the Middle

0:42.3

East.

0:44.0

Hezbollah is dug in and is vast and is well-financed and has hundreds of thousands of rockets.

0:53.0

Jonathan Shenzer, on what appears to be moments before a war of the North

0:59.0

unless more of this later tonight.

1:01.5

Thank you. I think it's a good question, John. I don't know who's in charge in Beirut. I don't think anybody does.

1:08.0

This is a inconclusive government for years running now a state that has run up a debt of something like

1:18.6

200 billion dollars and this is a country with no exports to speak of.

1:24.0

It is a basket case of a country.

1:27.0

And so Hezbollah has taken full control of it politically, militarily. There is no entity that can

1:36.8

force his Bala to do anything in Lebanon. They are effectively the sovereign. It is a satropy state of the Islamic

1:46.1

Republic of Iran. And so when Hochstein goes to Lebanon and tries to cut a deal with the Lebanese.

1:53.7

He's trying to work through third parties

1:56.5

to reach some kind of an agreement with Hezbollah.

1:59.2

But his below is not interested in deconflicting.

2:02.0

Right now, as I mentioned, Hezbollah believes

2:04.6

that the US has restrained Israel,

2:07.3

that Israel is subservient to US wishes,

...

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