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The John Batchelor Show

PREVIEW HEADLINE: Questioning the Validity of China's Increased GDP Expectations GUEST NAME: Fraser Howie SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Fraser Howie about the World Bank/IMF raising GDP expectations for China. Howie suggests these organizations relu

The John Batchelor Show

John Batchelor

Society & Culture, Arts, News, Books

4.52.8K Ratings

🗓️ 8 October 2025

⏱️ 2 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

     PREVIEW HEADLINE: Questioning the Validity of China's Increased GDP Expectations GUEST NAME: Fraser Howie SUMMARY: John Batchelor speaks with Fraser Howie about the World Bank/IMF raising GDP expectations for China. Howie suggests these organizations reluctantly avoid public negativity about China and rely on models. He notes results depend entirely on inputs, calling the process "classic rubbish in, rubbish out."

Transcript

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0:00.0

This is John Batchel, a conversation with Jack Burnham of the Foundation for Defensive Democracies about Deep Seek.

0:08.1

Still being asked questions about Deep Seek. Everybody is. Was the demonstration earlier this year of cheaper, better matching anything you can do?

0:21.2

Was it accurate? Was it accurate?

0:22.7

Was it thorough?

0:24.4

What about a follow-up?

0:27.2

Jack speaks carefully.

0:29.1

But right now, everything's moving.

0:32.1

Everything's in doubt.

0:34.1

Deep seek.

0:34.7

China's answer to NVIDIA, ASML, TSMC, partial answer.

0:43.2

More of this tonight.

0:44.3

That was certainly the initial claim.

0:46.8

Since then, there's been investigations into whether or not those claims are true, and there's

0:51.8

been debate around how much, how deep seek accounts for some of

0:55.8

its spending, whether or not the numbers that were cited and its, it's academic articles that

1:00.8

it eventually posted in English abroad to a foreign audience, whether or not if there's numbers

1:05.9

really represented the full cost of training, or whether or not there was represented rather a small kind of final

1:12.0

tweak, a final run before it was launched.

1:14.9

And those debates and discussions are continuing to ongoing, but certainly that was, part

1:20.9

of deep seek claim to fame was the fact that it was allegedly trained at a far lower cost

1:26.5

than comparative American models.

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