4.8 • 692 Ratings
🗓️ 28 March 2024
⏱️ 17 minutes
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0:00.0 | Welcome to the Real Estate Strategies podcast. Let's get right into this episode. |
0:04.4 | Over 35 years of real estate investing, never have I seen such opportunity as we're about |
0:10.9 | to see over the next couple of years. I've been looking for this opportunity for over 10 years. |
0:17.5 | The real estate market is short about 6 million housing units. What this is going to do, |
0:22.2 | it's going to create significant pressure on both pricing and rent. Over the next couple of years, |
0:27.5 | what you will see is all the new supply that started several years ago is going to be added to |
0:33.4 | the economy in 2024 and 2025. That's going to cause a little bit of disruption in the markets |
0:39.0 | for about two years. And that's going to show up in the form of flat rents, concessions, |
0:43.8 | and possibly even pricing. Once that pig goes through the python, as I like to say, |
0:48.8 | after that, the genie's out of the bottle. The supply goes way down and the demand stays steady and that's |
0:56.3 | when we're going to start to see massive, massive price increases and massive rent increases. |
1:03.5 | So the opportunity for real estate investing is going to be in these next two years when you |
1:07.9 | can buy distressed assets from developers that are sitting on construction |
1:12.7 | loans really high rate loans or even owners that are undercapitalized or possibly even occupancy |
1:19.2 | problems. So for those of you who are skeptical, just take a look at the following graph. |
1:24.2 | And on the left side are completions. Now, these are both single family and |
1:28.3 | multifamily. And at the bottom is the year. Please focus on 2006 when you can see that the U.S. |
1:35.2 | added about 1.8 million units of housing. The red represents multifamily and the blue represents |
1:41.3 | single family. And this bubble was created by low interest rates at the time. |
1:46.4 | We've all heard of 2008, 2007. Well, you can see the drop off right after that, and that's what |
1:52.9 | ensued next. So during this period of time, no banks were lending for new construction because |
1:58.7 | what had happened up to that 2006 time frame is we |
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