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The John Batchelor Show

#PRC: PLARF 2035. Rick Fisher, senior fellow of the International Assessment and Strategy Center, @GordonGChang, Gatestone, Newsweek, The H

The John Batchelor Show

John Batchelor

Society & Culture, Arts, News, Books

4.52.8K Ratings

🗓️ 25 January 2024

⏱️ 9 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary


#PRC: PLARF 2035. Rick Fisher, senior fellow of the International Assessment and Strategy Center, @GordonGChang, Gatestone, Newsweek, The Hill

https://www.wsj.com/video/series/wsj-explains/a-secretive-chinese-force-is-becoming-the-us-militarys-biggest-challenge/B379CBEF-E14C-4501-833C-3E444F37C761

1908 Wuhan

Transcript

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0:00.0

This is a CBS Island World. I'm John Bachelor with Gordon Chang, my colleague and co-host and friend,

0:10.0

and we very much welcome Rick Fisher, Senior Fellow International Assessment and Strategy

0:15.0

Center, who has a new page up about the Chinese ICBM program, especially when it comes to

0:21.2

nuclear threat, not just this decade, but into the next decade.

0:27.0

Rick, a very good evening to you, thank you much.

0:29.6

What we're looking at is updating expectations of the PLA build-out two parts, the ICBMs and the nuclear.

0:39.0

At this point they're wetted in, we can presume, in those silos in the northwest. However, what does

0:45.8

what do the 2030s look like? What are they building to? What is the

0:50.0

expectation? Good evening to you, Rick. Good evening, John.

0:54.2

In my opinion, China seeks to achieve a level of nuclear superiority over the United States.

1:01.4

It is... over the United States.

1:03.0

It is basically completed the construction of about 300 new intercontinental ballistic missile silos in three fields in China's western deserts.

1:19.6

There has been some discordant reporting, especially out of the Bloomberg service to the effect

1:29.4

citing nebulous intelligence sources that these silos may not be completed.

1:36.8

They may have been, there's a shoddy work and missiles may be filled with water instead of fuel.

1:49.4

But the report has a lot of holes in it itself.

1:55.7

China is putting solid fuel ballistic missiles in these silos,

1:59.4

not liquid-fueled missiles, and other aspects of that story take away from its credibility.

2:07.5

And when China builds these silos and has two, maybe three or four companies dedicated to the production of solid fuel

2:17.8

missiles that could that are ICBMs or could be turned into ICBMs, we have to take this build up very seriously.

2:26.7

And what I offered for a presentation for the new National Institute for Deterrence Studies on the 19th was a projection

2:38.8

based on open source estimates today, then adding new missiles that I expect

...

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