Playing Small Ball During a Tsunami

The Commentary Magazine Podcast

Commentary Magazine

News Commentary, Politics, News

4.6 • 4.5K Ratings

🗓️ 14 April 2022

⏱️ 62 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

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Summary

Today's podcast explores the fact that on this date in 2018, Donald Trump's approval rating was 42.8 percent—and today Joe Biden's is 40.6 percent. The Republican Party was battered in the 2018 elections, but Biden and the Democrats are still hopeful they can ward off disaster through "small ball" tactics. We examine them, and the continuing madness of the CDC's efforts to keep masks on Americans. Also, Elon Musk and Twitter. Give a listen.

Transcript

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0:00.0	Welcome to the commentary magazine Daily Podcast today is Thursday, April,
0:29.6	14th, 2022. I'm John Horrits. The editor of commentary magazine with me is always executive editor,
0:36.8	A. Rewalt Hyade. Hi John. Senior writer Christine Rosen. Hi Christine. Hi John. And associate editor,
0:43.6	Noah Rothman. Hi Noah. Hi John. So I was just looking at some numbers, generic, whole numbers,
0:54.8	and presidential approval, poll numbers, because the polka mat yesterday from Quinnipiac, which is the
1:03.1	harshest of all pollsters toward Biden, seems to have a significant however their whatever their
1:11.6	met, whatever their methodology is or whatever they come up with the results that are the worst for
1:17.3	Biden. And today they have the result that is the worst for Biden in the Biden presidency with a
1:22.7	33% approval rate, which is not tracking with other polls that needs to be said, you know, people
1:30.7	who like are thrilled to hear this news shouldn't should keep their powder dry because most other polls
1:36.4	have him closer to 40, which is terrible, but nonetheless is not 33, which is, you know, the demographic
1:44.2	breakdowns here are really suspect like they are. Okay. Among Hispanics is at 26% approval. Yeah, well,
1:51.4	we should be sure. 34 21% I don't believe that. Yeah. Okay. But you can also say that and still
1:58.2	vote for the head to them. Right. Yeah. Okay. So anyway, but so the these numbers are terrible,
2:03.7	but so I decided to look at the poll results on this date in 2022. That is the poll of polls,
2:15.8	the real clear politics average aggregation of polls and then averaging of them. So on this date
2:25.6	in 2018, remember the result of the 2018 midterms was a blowout for Democrats winning 40
2:33.8	House seats. Donald Trump's approval rating on April 14th 2018 was 42.8%. Joe Biden's approval
2:47.8	rating in the polls today April 14th 2022 40.6%. So he is appreciably lower than Trump and
3:00.7	the when you aggregate polls, you there is no such thing as a margin of error.
3:08.8	For complicated statistical reasons, the point here is that at the very least at the very least
3:14.8	Trump, Biden is in Trump territory in terms of approval or worse and likely worse
	...

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