#OzWatch: Official El Nino with official Positive Indian Dipole means hot, dry Spring/Summer -- and plunging cattle prices. Jeremy Zakis, New South Wales. #FriendsofHistoryDebatingSociety
The John Batchelor Show
John Batchelor
4.5 • 2.8K Ratings
🗓️ 24 September 2023
⏱️ 8 minutes
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Summary
https://www.news.com.au/technology/environment/im-nervous-concerns-double-whammy-of-climate-drivers-could-supercharge-el-nino/news-story/5441e2ef75741e0b6f10e0008de34db9
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-09-23/el-nino-is-back-and-cattle-prices-are-melting/102888200
1928 Sydney
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | This is the Friends Mystery Debating Society. I'm John Bachelorette, too. |
| 0:03.9 | New South Wales. Sydney, Jeremy Zachis reporting on what we've been waiting for for weeks and |
| 0:10.0 | weeks. The meteorologists in Australia have given in. El Nino has arrived, but there's a twist. |
| 0:17.2 | Jeremy, a very good day to you. El Nino. Super El Nino. It means drier weather. |
| 0:23.2 | It means hotter weather, but you've got a twist. What about the Indian Ocean? Good day, too, Jeremy. |
| 0:28.1 | Good day, John. Yes, we do have a twist and what a twist it is. So not only have we been declared |
| 0:34.3 | officially now in and out within your state of weather system, but the Bureau of Meteorology also |
| 0:40.0 | dropped another bomb. Basically, we're in the Indian Ocean Diapol positive cycle as well, |
| 0:45.8 | and now what that means, John, is that the Indian Ocean Diapol, which, as the name suggests, |
| 0:50.0 | it means the Indian Ocean has carved itself up into two different temperature systems for the ocean |
| 0:54.8 | temperatures itself. So what the positive effect means is that on the eastern side here, |
| 1:00.5 | where Australia is, the Indian Ocean is actually colder than on the western side. So basically, |
| 1:06.0 | we've got a very big variation in ocean temperatures in the Indian Ocean, and that creates what's |
| 1:11.9 | called a convection current whereby all the cold water and all the cold air that's basically on the |
| 1:17.1 | eastern side here gets sucked up into the atmosphere, pulled across to the western side of the |
| 1:21.9 | Indian Ocean, and the rain drops down in the west. Whereas here on the eastern side of the Indian |
| 1:27.7 | Ocean, we are only going to get dry conditions. So John, what that means is that only are we getting |
| 1:33.8 | the El Nino effect creating dry hot conditions across at least the next six months. We are also |
| 1:39.4 | getting a double whammy whereby the Indian Ocean Diapol is creating even drier conditions for us |
| 1:44.7 | here in Australia, which means we're going to get even less rain because of that as well. So |
| 1:49.6 | literally everything here in Australia is creating dry, warm, and hot conditions for the next six |
| 1:55.6 | months, which is exactly what we don't need right now. I saw a photograph over these last days |
... |
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