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Real Vision: Finance & Investing

One Year Anniversary of the Market Bottom -- What Could Go Wrong?

Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Real Vision

Investing, Business News, News, Business

4.11.1K Ratings

🗓️ 24 March 2021

⏱️ 26 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

DB-Mar23,2021. Lily Francus, independent quantitative researcher, joins Real Vision senior editor Ash Bennington to share her outlook on narrative economics, the NOPE Index, and the dangers of beta. On the one-year anniversary of the bottom in the S&P 500, Francus notes that this current market environment is marked by a great deal of short covering and portfolio rebalancing, which drive the “rotation” trade away from growth into value that has been playing out. Francus explains how the surge of retail traders (or “low-information traders”) has driven flows and exerted a serious influence, particularly in the sky-high volume of options contracts. Francus connects this to her theory on NOPE (“net options pricing effect”) before sharing with Bennington her advice to traders in this choppy market. For Listeners: Checkout skillshare.com and learn a new skill. You can use a unique promo link skillshare.com/realvision Protect your portfolio and join 130,000 members by signing up at masterworks.io with promo code REAL VISION today to skip the waitlist. See important information at masterworks.io/disclaimer Checkout Jordan Harbinger Show @ https://www.jordanharbinger.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

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0:41.0

One year out from the COVID market bottom,

0:44.0

narrative-driven trading and salience and the quantitative indicator, the NOPE index.

0:50.0

Lily, welcome back to Real Vision. Welcome back to the Daily Briefing.

0:54.0

Thank you. You got to be back.

0:56.0

You know, you're here on quite a day.

0:58.0

This is the 12 month anniversary of the post-COVID market bottom.

1:03.0

The S&P 500 went on to drop 34% from peak.

1:07.0

And now, since then, since 12 months ago,

1:10.0

we are up on the Dow 74% up on the S&P 74%.

1:16.0

And the NASDAQ up almost 93% nearly doubling.

1:21.0

What could go wrong?

1:23.0

What could possibly go wrong?

1:26.0

Lily, take us through your view of this market.

1:29.0

I know it's something you've been thinking about and writing about.

1:32.0

I mean, since last year,

1:34.0

we've seen a lot of liquidity pumped in by the Federal Reserve,

...

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