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The Trish Regan Show

One Candidate JUST SOARED! Here's Who The SMARTEST Pollsters Predict Will Win the Presidency

The Trish Regan Show

Trish Regan

News Commentary, News, Daily News, Business, Politics, Business News

4.61.2K Ratings

🗓️ 3 November 2024

⏱️ 76 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Why The Iowa Poll is WRONG

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Welcome to the big show, everyone. This is a special edition, if you would, just impromptu, of the Trish Regan program.

0:09.9

And I decided to come on because we've got some really startling numbers out. This is actually amazing.

0:16.3

These are perhaps some of the best numbers I have seen for Donald Trump thus far. And I'm going to attribute

0:22.2

them to the pollster Nate Silver, a statistician, very, very good at what he does. He's got a model

0:27.9

where he's looking at some 40,000 different scenarios, pathways, if you would, forward to Donald

0:34.2

Trump versus Kamala Harris winning the election. And at present right now, he has now, gosh, an electoral college audit, odds at 85%,

0:44.6

85% odds of Trump winning the election.

0:51.4

So that was worth coming on to tell you about on a Sunday here as we confront

0:58.0

what many are calling the most pivotal election of our viewpoint, and they see it as pivotal

1:04.7

and important for different reasons. Those on the left believe that Donald Trump is going

1:10.5

to become a dictator on day one,

1:13.1

referring to a quip he made about how he needed to deal with the border, and it was sort of

1:18.6

said in jest, and so they're taking it out of context. But those on the right feeling like,

1:23.4

wait a second, and Elon Musk keeps saying this, if in fact she wins this election, there may not be any additional elections going forward in the fairest sense of the word because they're very worried about the influx of migrants and the influx of people coming in to the country and what that is going to mean for these voting districts.

1:42.2

I want to remind you to subscribe, to share, to like all of that good stuff. But again, this is probably just the most incredible

1:48.4

thing I'm seeing here that in his modeling, he's anticipating a very large chance. I will show

1:57.0

you this graphic because I think it's worth seeing. And again, look, I think if anything,

2:01.4

Nate probably is more left than he is right. And he's trying to be as analytical as he can about

2:09.1

all of this stuff right now, which is not easy to do. And he's pointed out, this is one of the

2:12.9

problems that you have with so many pollsters, because they are so embedded in whatever they think is the

2:20.2

right political outcome to have. They have a tendency to bias their polls in that way. So taking a look,

2:27.9

again, at some of the data that has just come out. Let's make sure we're reading this right here.

...

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