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On The Tape

Okay, Computer 11/15/22: Bear Market Rallies are a B*tch with Tech Investor Dan Benton

On The Tape

RiskReversal Media

News, Business, Investing, Business News

4.6757 Ratings

🗓️ 15 November 2022

⏱️ 52 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Dan speaks with legendary tech investor & analyst Dan Benton about tech valuations (1:00), interest rates (16:30), FOMO investing (21:00), earnings models (28:30), semis as an early indicator (33:00), and Elon Musk/Tesla/Twitter (38:00). Check out Dan Benton’s 20 rules for tech investing from the 90s ---- View our show notes and transcript here ---- Email us at [email protected] with any feedback, suggestions, or questions for us to answer on the pod and follow us @OkayComputerPod. We’re on social: Follow Dan Nathan @RiskReversal on Twitter Follow @GuyAdami on Twitter Follow us on Instagram @RiskReversalMedia Subscribe to our YouTube page

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to OK Computer. I'm Dan Nathan. I'm here with Dan Benton, who runs Benton Capital

0:05.9

Management, that is a family office. He was also the founder and CEO of Andor Capital in 2001 to

0:12.2

2016, which was one of the best performing tech hedge funds of its time. I knew Dan, only by

0:19.5

reputation back then. Now he slums it with me a little bit as we've just gotten a bit I knew Dan, only by reputation back then.

0:21.2

Now he slums it with me a little bit as we've just gotten a bit older.

0:24.1

Dan, welcome back to OK Computer.

0:26.7

Thank you very much for having me.

0:28.0

Well, listen, you and I had a great conversation.

0:31.0

It was back in the last week of April.

0:33.1

It was right before, I guess it was going to be that deluge of big cap tech earnings, okay? And what was

0:39.6

really interesting about that is that, you know, the stock market was making highs the first

0:45.0

week of January, all-time highs, okay? And so a lot of people really didn't want to believe

0:51.0

that the Fed, when they said in late November, that they were going to start

0:54.3

raising interest rates to kind of battle inflation, that they were going to do what they said

0:59.3

they were going to do, right? And it seemed to be a little bit of a delayed reaction from mega-cap

1:04.5

tech land. But we saw a lot of those kind of high valuation, more speculative sort of stuff in

1:10.0

tech, SPACs, recent IPOs,

1:12.9

crypto, all started careening lower.

1:15.9

And that started in, you know, the middle of 2021.

1:19.4

Yeah, right.

1:20.1

And I guess what was interesting to me, we always knew that these top six or seven names

1:24.7

make up 40% of the NASDAQ 100,, about 25% of the S&P 500,

...

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