4.6 • 757 Ratings
🗓️ 24 October 2022
⏱️ 31 minutes
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0:00.0 | Welcome to OK Computer. I'm Dan Nathan. I am joined with Gene Munster. He is the managing partner and founder of Loop Ventures. Gene, welcome back to OK Computer. I'm a fan. Thanks, Dan. Thanks, bud. Well, listen, last quarter, we had this great pod. It was you and me. It was one-on-one. We hit the big five earnings. They were all coming in the same week. |
0:22.2 | You know what they are. They're Apple. They're Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, and meta. And we're going to hit all of those because they're all |
0:29.2 | reporting this week. You have positions in some. You do deep research in all of them. But first, Gene, |
0:35.9 | I want to take a quick step back. There were some big |
0:38.3 | movers over the last week or so in tech earnings. And Netflix had that huge rally. We had |
0:45.0 | SNAP that had that massive 30% one day decline after their Q3 results. And then we had Tesla, |
0:53.1 | which is one, which I think, you know, we've kind of, you and I've |
0:56.7 | gone back and forth on this one a lot. And I think that you have a really nuanced view in Tesla. |
1:02.2 | You have a very like, like steadfast long term view on it, but near term, you've been really |
1:07.4 | apprehensive. Let's start with snap because, you know, 30% in one day. There's some |
1:12.5 | huge gaps in this chart here. The company announced a huge restructuring in September, |
1:17.9 | okay, where they were going to do workforce reductions or cutting some non-core business lines. |
1:22.4 | It seemed like Evan had this sort of come to Jesus event. I saw him live with Kara Swisher at the Code Conference in September. |
1:29.9 | Were you surprised based on the miss that they had that the stock reacted so negatively? |
1:36.8 | Yes, I would have expected if you to give me that press release and said, |
1:40.2 | what's the stock going to do? I'd have said down 10 to 15%. Down 30 to me is an indictment in terms of the conviction that investors have. |
1:50.5 | It was, I think, an overreaction. |
1:53.7 | Keep in mind, they guided revenue down for the December quarter by 6%. |
1:59.0 | March of next year probably comes down by an equal amount. |
2:02.5 | So that 30% move, that gap is really multiple going away because just loss of confidence. |
2:09.7 | It's unfortunately not the first time that Snap in last year has had one of these big down days. |
2:15.6 | And I think that that probably plays into it. |
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